Friday AM Blog: Right on track with the Heady Pattern. Next few systems!

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Good Friday morning!  I hope your week is going fantastic!  Mine has been pretty good, but super busy.  I am ready for the weekend as I think most people usually are.  Plus we are going to see our second great weather weekend in a row.  That is very hard to say in the month of February.  This has been a very interesting winter.  In Joplin, we average 16″ of snow in a season.  Last year we had a record low of 2″ and this season so far we are at 2.5″.  That is a total of 4.5″ when we should be at 32″.  That is crazy!  Again this year we are just in a bad pattern.  We haven’t been able to get much arctic air and we haven’t had a ton of storm systems.  This highly worries me as we work into late spring and summer.  Could we be heading toward drought conditions for the summer.  I am going to dig into this and our severe weather outlook for the spring here shortly.

We are right on track with the Heady Pattern.  We continue this years cycle at about 56-57 days.  This is the same cycle that we have been in since late July.  That means this cycle will be shifting once again here in about 5 months.  Take a look at what we are seeing for today.

We have a weak wave across Texas.  This will give us clouds over the next couple days and maybe a random showers.  Look at the system off the California coast.  That is a bigger system that will move in on Monday and Tuesday.  First off, lets look at Saturday.

You can see most of the showers stay SE of us on Saturday.  However, just close enough we could see a random showers.  Look out west.  California is getting rocked once again.  They have thankfully gotten a lot of rain lately.  That is the system that gives us rain on Monday and Tuesday.  Here is a look at Monday.

It will stay decently active from this point on.  Our next system, that again looks like mainly rain will roll in on Thursday and Friday.  Here is a look at Friday.

After this point, we could see the arctic trying to return for a short period of time.  Lets see how it falls in place.

Make sure you check out my long range forecast below!

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Mild with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Staying mild most of the week with rain chances returning late Thursday, Friday and some showers on Saturday.

February 26th-March 4th:  A much colder week with rain chances returning for Monday and Tuesday.  Cool the rest of the week with rain chances returning for the weekend.

March 5th-11th:  A cool start to the week with rain and snow chances on Sunday.  Staying cool most of the week with rain chances on Wednesday.  Warming up for the weekend.

March 12th-18th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday.  Turing cooler the rest of the week with rain chances by the weekend.

March 19th-25th:  Mild to start the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday and Monday.  The next system is in on Wednesday and Thursday with additional thunderstorm chances.  Cooling down as we head into the weekend.

March 26th-April 1st:  A cool start to the week with a warming trend through the week.  Warm temperatures by late weekend with rain chances for the weekend.

April 2nd-8th:  A warm start to the week with rain chances on Tuesday.  Cooling down for a couple of days but warming back up by the weekend.

April 9th-15th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday and Monday.  Cooler for the middle of the week with rain chances on Thursday and Friday.

Friday Morning: Big changes the next couple of days. Updated long range forecast!

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Good Friday morning!  I am in serious blog mode pumping them out this morning.  It is time for me to get everything back on track!  I am so sick of this weather  pattern.  Gary Lezak(Chief in KC) talk all year long about I hope we get snow this winter.  The past two winters have just killed us.  We look at the pattern we are in and say “well maybe next year”.  It is a killer to be in these type of patterns.  So what is coming up?  Here is my latest video-blog.

Make sure you check out my long range forecast below!

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Temperatures near average through the first half of the week, but cooling down the second half of the week.  Slight chances for rain and snow Thursday through Saturday.

February 19th-25th:  A cool start to the week with rain and slight chances for snow Sunday through Tuesday.  Colder temperatures the rest of the week with slight chances for snow on Friday.

February 26th-March 4th:  warming up for the beginning of the week with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Colder the rest of the week with rain chances returning for Saturday.

March 5th-11th:  A cool start to the week with rain and snow chances on Sunday.  Staying cool most of the week with rain chances on Wednesday.  Warming up for the weekend.

March 12th-18th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday.  Turing cooler the rest of the week with rain chances by the weekend.

March 19th-25th:  Mild to start the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday and Monday.  The next system is in on Wednesday and Thursday with additional thunderstorm chances.  Cooling down as we head into the weekend.

March 26th-April 1st:  A cool start to the week with a warming trend through the week.  Warm temperatures by late weekend with rain chances for the weekend.

April 2nd-8th:  A warm start to the week with rain chances on Tuesday.  Cooling down for a couple of days but warming back up by the weekend.

April 9th-15th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday and Monday.  Cooler for the middle of the week with rain chances on Thursday and Friday.

Tuesday Night/Wednesday AM Long range blog: Things are picking up!

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Good Tuesday night!  I hope your week is going great so far.  Mine has been super busy but pretty good, no complaints.  However, the days are flying by like always.

The weather has been pretty good over the past few days.  However, we are going to start to cool down a bit over the next few days.  Temperatures cooler Wednesday, but still not bad.

Let me show you where we are in the pattern.  We sit at a 57 days cycle this year, so take a look at the upper level map.

You can see the Jet Stream in purple passing right over us with a three main waves.  Pacific NW, Mexico, and the NE.  Lets go back 57 days.

You can see the very similar look on December 5th, that we have today.  Our next wave rolls in on Saturday.

This will give us a few showers, but a much stronger system rolls in on Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.  Yes the arctic air returns.

You can see the storm system diving south with the cold arctic air.

Well those temps look like fun!

Check out my long range forecast below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A nice mild start to the week with rain chances on Tuesday.  With cold arctic air returning on Wednesday, we could see a little light snow.  Temperatures will warm up a bit by the weekend with rain chances returning.

February 12th-18th:  Rain and snow chances on Sunday and Monday with colder temperatures working back in.  Mild temps work back in late week with rain chances on Saturday.

February 19th-25th:  Mild with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Turning cooler with snow chances on Wednesday.  Staying cold the rest of the week with slight chances for snow on Friday.

February 26th-March 4th:  A cool start to the week with rain and snow chances on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  Staying cold the rest of the week.

March 5th-11th:  A cool start to the week with chances for rain on Sunday.  Mild temperatures return by mid-week with rain chances on Thursday.

Latest long range forecast: When are we going to see snow?

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Good Thursday night!  I hope your week has been great so far.  Mine has been busy but pretty good.  The weather has been gloomy and cold the past few days, but we will look  up here soon.  Actually the weather has been boring as of late and will actually stay that way for at least another week.  Then we should start to see some changes.  Let me show you what is going on.

Here is what is going on right now.  Look at the area of high pressure out to our west.  This is forcing the Jet Stream up north into western Canada and forcing it back south across the central plains.  This allow us to stay cold, but at the same time it is blocking any big systems to work in.  This is the same part of the pattern that we have on December 1st, 57 days earlier.

Back on December 1st, the High pressure was pushed a little farther west, but still we had the cold temperatures in place then like now.  High will start to warm a little bit for us over the next couple days into the lower 40s.  This is still below normal but looking better.

So lets jump down the road into Superbowl weekend.

A system works through next Saturday and Sunday.  As of now it looks like mainly rain but needs to be watched.

However, the next week on the 7th and 8th, is when we should get another blast of cold air that could be arctic.

You can see the huge system across southern Canada.  This is the same system that gave us the arctic blast on December 11th.

If we can get the arctic air, this is what provide us with better chances for winter weather for the rest of the month as we renter this stretch of the pattern.  However, the bottom line is we aren’t in the best pattern again this winter to get big winter storms.  We will see a few chances for winter weather in February, and then we will be done.  I think we have three chances for a storm in February and that is it.

Check out my long range forecast below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A mild start to the week with the second half of the week cooling down just a bit.  We should be on the dry side most of the week until a storm system with rain chances work in on Saturday.

February 5th-11th:  A cool start to the week with chances for rain or snow on Sunday.  Staying cold through the week with slight chances for rain or snow on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Dry the rest of the week with cool temperatures.

February 12th-18th:  Mild with rain chances again on Sunday and Monday.  With colder air working in, we could see a little bit of snow for Valentine’s Day.  Temperatures warm right back up and stay mild into the weekend.

February 19th-25th:  A mild start to the week with rain and snow chances on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Then cold for the rest of the week.

February 26th-March 4th:  A cool start to the week with rain and snow chances on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  Staying cold the rest of the week.

March 5th-11th:  A cool start to the week with chances for rain on Sunday.  Mild temperatures return by mid-week with rain chances on Thursday.

Wednesday Night/Thursday AM Blog: When is our next chance for snow? Plus super long range forecast.

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Good Wednesday night/Thursday morning.  I hope your week is going great!  Mine has been pretty good so far.  I am always busy with work stuff, so everyday is jammed pack it seems.  I did get a lot done around the house today which is always a plus.  Also the temperatures were much warmer today, which is nice.  We will stay in general above normal for the next week with just a few hiccups.  We do have several storm system which will be affecting us over the next couple of weeks.  We just had the ice storm this past weekend and now we have little weak waves over us.  Lets take a look.

These will give us a few showers over the next couple of days, but most of the rain will stay south of the area.  However, by the weekend a stronger system works in.

You can see the strong system to our south on Sunday.  This is a classic set-up for a great snowstorm.  However, if you look to our north, there is another Low pressure.  All of the cold air wraps around it and doesn’t allow the cold air to dive deep into the central plains.  The end result is this will be a rain system.

Lets move to next Tuesday and Wednesday.

Look at the huge storm system across the central plains.  This is right on schedule with the Heady Pattern.  We have been sitting at about 56-57 day cycle since the summer time.  Lets go back to the last time this system rolled through.  Here is a look at November 29th.

This is a closer look but clearly the same system rolling back through.  Again like in November, I think this will mainly track north of us.  Meaning we will most likely see rain with colder temperatures plunging south behind it.

Check out below, I have our long range forecast posted through March.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A mild start to the week with rain chances increasing late Tuesday and into Wednesday.  With the colder air working in on Thursday, we could see a few snow showers.  Staying cold the rest of the week.

January 29th-February 4th:  Cold temperatures stick around with a few weak waves rolling through the first have of the week.  This will give us some rain and snow chances from Sunday through Wednesday.  Cold temperatures stick around the rest of the week.

February 5th-11th:  Mild temperatures with rain and snow chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Colder air works right back in for the rest of the week.  We will start to warm back up for the weekend.

February 12th-18th:  Mild with rain chances again on Sunday and Monday.  With colder air working in, we could see a little bit of snow for Valentine’s Day.  Temperatures warm right back up and stay mild into the weekend.

February 19th-25th:  A mild start to the week with rain and snow chances on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Then cold for the rest of the week.

February 26th-March 4th:  A cool start to the week with rain and snow chances on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  Staying cold the rest of the week.

March 5th-11th:  A cool start to the week with chances for rain on Sunday.  Mild temperatures return by mid-week with rain chances on Thursday.

Monday Morning: Storm systems to watch, especially late this week!

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Hey, good Monday morning.  I hope you ended up having a great weekend.  Mine was pretty good!  I hung out with my son all weekend and also got a lot done around the house.  It amazes me how fast the weekends fly right on by.   So back to reality, it is Monday!

After these bitterly cold temperatures, we have slowly started warming up over the past few days.  This trend will continue over the next few days with three waves to watch over the next week.  Here is my latest video-cast on what is moving in.  Also, where are we at in the Heady Pattern.

 

Don’t forget!  My long range forecast is posted below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A cool start to the week with rain and snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Staying cool through most of the week with rain chances on Thursday and Friday.  Warming up for the weekend ahead of our next bigger system.

January 22nd-28th:  Rain and snow chances return from Sunday through Tuesday.  Another system with rain chances for Friday and Saturday.

January 29th-February 4th:  The first half of the week will be mainly cold with slight chances for snow on Monday.  Rain and snow chances return on Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

February 5th-11th:  Mainly a cold week with slight chances for snow on Monday.  Another system on Friday with slight chances for rain or snow.

February 12th-18th:  The first half of the week will be mainly cold with a warm up late in the week with rain chances on Thursday and possible snow chances on Friday.  Cooling back down for the weekend.

February 19th-25th:  A cool start to the week with a warm up by the middle of the week.  Rain chances on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

Wednesday AM Blog: Arctic air, some snow and your long range forecast!

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Good Wednesday morning!  I hope your having a great week so far.  Mine has been pretty good, just flying right on by as most of them do.  I am hoping to have a nice productive morning and get a lot done before I head off to work this afternoon.  Unfortunately it is so cold across the area.  My dog didn’t even want to go out this morning.  The cold arctic air is going to be sticking around for the next several days.  Let me show what is going on for us over the next few days and what is to come.  Here is a look at the upper levels with our next wave rolling through.

We are looking at the Jet Stream in purple with the cold arctic air slamming south.  This is the same part of the pattern we had in early November.  I put a weak “L” showing our next wave.  This will drive even colder air south over the next two days and a little light snow.  We will have a band of light snow just north of us later tonight.

Here is a look at shortly after midnight tonight.   You can see the light snow spreading across the I-70 corridor.  This will try to sneak SE through the overnight hours.  By the morning hours, light snow will spread as far south as the I-44 corridor.

However, this will be light and quickly push out of here by late morning.

We could still see a few snow showers during the afternoon but it doesn’t look like a big deal.  Snowfall amounts will be the highest north of us.

South of I-44, we should only have a dusting or so.  As you work farther north in our viewing area, we should have a dusting to 1/2″  Our northern counties and towns, Nevada to Ft. Scott may pick up an isolated 1″ of snow.  As you can see this is a very small light event with the heaviest snows staying north of the area.

I really don’t see much in the way snowstorms heading toward us over the next couple of weeks.  We are just in a bad part of the pattern.  Let me show you why.

Look at what happens next week.  The cold arctic air shifts east and we get under a ridge of high pressure allowing our temperatures to warm right back up.  I really don’t see any changes until the following week as we fall back into the mid to late November version of the pattern.  Here is a look at November 17th.

Once this part of the pattern returns, we will get stronger storms systems working into the area.  If we can get some arctic air,  we will have chances for some bigger wintry weather events.

Long range forecast is below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Warming back up with rain chances on Tuesday and Wednesday with a wave working through.  A second wave, with cooler temperatures works through on Thursday and Friday with rain chances.

January 15th-21st:  A mild start to the week with rain chances on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday with our next wave working through.  If we can get a little cooler air on the back side of the system, we could have a little wintry weather.  Staying cool and dry the rest of the week until rain chances return for the weekend.

January 22nd-28th:  Rain and snow chances return from Sunday through Tuesday.  Another system with rain chances for Friday and Saturday.

January 29th-February 4th:  The first half of the week will be mainly cold with slight chances for snow on Monday.  Rain and snow chances return on Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

February 5th-11th:  Mainly a cold week with slight chances for snow on Monday.  Another system on Friday with slight chances for rain or snow.

February 12th-18th:  The first half of the week will be mainly cold with a warm up late in the week with rain chances on Thursday and possible snow chances on Friday.  Cooling back down for the weekend.

February 19th-25th:  A cool start to the week with a warm up by the middle of the week.  Rain chances on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

Thursday Night Blog: Big changes down the road! Long range forecast

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I hope your holidays have been great and are gearing up for the New Year.  It is funny as you get older you don’t care about going out and tearing up the town like you used to in your 20s.  A nice dinner with friends and hanging out sounds pretty good to me.  I can’t believe it is almost 2017!  Where did 2005 go?  It is amazing how the years pick up as you get older.  Spring will be here soon and sling shot us into summer.  Before we know it we will be buying pumpkins and I will be writing I can’t believe it is almost 2018.

Well, the weather has been fairly calm over the past several days.  Lets look at our next system rolling in.

You can see the system across the pacific NW.  This will produce snow once again across western Montana who has been hit pretty hard over the past couple of weeks.  This system will be a weak version once it makes it here on Saturday.

Any moisture with this system really won’t get going until the front rolls through.  This means we will just see some clouds and briefly cool down for about 12-18 hours and that is about it.  However, that wonderful arctic air is lingering and ready to plow back to the south.  Lets jump into next Tuesday.

You can see the Jet Stream in purple take a huge dip from western Canada and curls up through the southern plains.  This allows that cold arctic air to slide south across the region.  Now one cycle ago in early November, we didn’t have the arctic air, but we had the same set-up and that shows that we are right on track with the Heady Pattern.  Look at the colder air crashing south by Tuesday and Wednesday.

The cold arctic air will stick around the rest of the week.  We will have a wave that slides in next Friday and Saturday.  With the cold air in place this will give us some snow chances that I will keep my eyes on.  By the following week, the arctic air will go back to retreating and then sliding back south as storm systems roll in.  Make sure you check out the long range forecast below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Arctic air returns by Tuesday with very slight chances for a shower or snow shower.  The arctic air sticks for the rest of the week with snow chances on Friday and Saturday.

January 9th-14th:  A cold start to the week with our next storm system rolling in by Tuesday.  We will warm up a bit ahead of the storm system giving us rain and snow chances on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.  Cold air returns for the rest of the week.

January 15th-21st:  A mild start to the week with rain chances on Tuesday and Wednesday.  If we can get any colder air on the backside of the system, we could have some wintry weather to end the system.  Cold the rest of the week, but warming up for Saturday.

January 22nd28th:  Rain and snow chances return from Sunday through Tuesday.  Another system with rain chances for Friday and Saturday.

January 29th-February 4th:  The first half of the week will be mainly cold with slight chances for snow on Monday.  Rain and snow chances return on Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

February 5th-11th:  Mainly a cold week with slight chances for snow on Monday.  Another system on Friday with slight chances for rain or snow.

February 12th-18th:  The first half of the week will be mainly cold with a warm up late in the week with rain chances on Thursday and possible snow chances on Friday.  Cooling back down for the weekend.

February 19th-25th:  A cool start to the week with a warm up by the middle of the week.  Rain chances on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

Tuesday Evening Blog: A look at Christmas and our long range forecast!

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Good evening!  I hope your week is going great so far!  Hopefully you have gotten most of your shopping done and ready for the holiday weekend.  I still have a ways to go, but I am knocking it out.  I think the hardest part for me is when I do get the gifts is wrapping them.  I am the worst wrapper around, but they get wrapped.  I don’t think my 7 year cares to much anyways.

At least the temperatures are warming up around here.  We have been so cold and finally we are back to where we should be for this time of the year.  So lets get to what is going to happen over the next couple of weeks and what is going on with the Heady Pattern.

Lets jump to Thursday.  Lets look at the pattern.  Here is the upper level flow and our next storm system.

You can see the Jet Stream is pretty flat, it should be for this part of the pattern.  Also notice the LOW across Baja California.  That will kick out and give us some rain chances on Friday.  Lets go back to October 28th.  We had a weaker set-up, but the same thing.

Again we had a pretty flat jet with our storm systems on the coasts.  Also you can see the same LOW over California that kicks out.  Now lets jump ahead to Christmas Day.

We have a much stronger wave that kicks out into the central plains.  However, due to the track of the wave it will push into the northern plains.  But a few interesting things here.  It has a neg. tilt, meaning the storm leans back toward the NW.  Because of this, in the spring this is a major severe weather set-up and even on Christmas Day we could get some pretty good storms.  This is the same storm we had around Halloween.  However, the Jet Stream was much weaker and it just couldn’t produce a monster like this.  Back then we just had a weak wave but it was still there.

Due to the weaker Jet, everything was shifted a little farther north, but you can see the two waves kicking out the exact same way.  So what will this do for us?

Well we should have some pretty strong thunderstorms on Christmas afternoon.  Crazy enough, but not snow but thunderstorms.  I will watch all of this over the next few days.  Our next system after this is down the road for next Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.  Here is a look at next Thursday.

This isn’t a very strong system, but could give us some rain through that period.  But we do need to watch the temperatures.  Arctic air will be close by and we need to see if it stays just north or wants to head south a bit.

Besides this I don’t see a lot of action until around January 12th.  Then things will get going again!  Check out my long range forecast below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Up and down temperatures through the week with rain chances from Wednesday through Saturday.

January 1st-8th:  This will be mainly a cool week with slight chances for rain on the 1st with our system working out.  Most of the week should be dry with rain chances returning by Saturday.

January 9th-14th:  A cold start to the week with mild temperatures returning by the middle of the week.  Also rain chances for Wednesday and Thursday as a system works through the area.  Then cold for the rest of the week.

January 15th-21st:  Another cool week with slight chances for rain or snow on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday with weak waves passing by.  Warming up for the weekend with slight chances for rain returning.

January 22nd28th:  Mild with rain on Sunday, then cold and dry through most of the week until our next storm system works in.  Cool with rain or snow chances on Friday and Saturday.

January 29th-February 4th:  Cool with rain or snow chances on Sunday, then staying cold through the week with slight chances for snow on Tuesday and Saturday.

February 5th-11th:  A cold and dry start to the week with mild temperatures by the second half of the week.  Rain chances for Thursday and Friday.  As the colder air works in chances for snow on Saturday.

February 12th-18th:  A cold start to the week with mild temperatures returning for the middle of the week.  Rain chances for Thursday through Saturday.

Updated Blog: More storm systems moving in, plus your long range forecast.

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Good Friday afternoon!  I hope your week has been great!  I have been in the hospital the past few days in Chicago getting migraine treatment.  So I guess my week could be going a little better, lol.  The main goal here is to break up the cycle of my daily migraines and in a sense reset my computer (brain).  However, I have been just sicker than a dog the past few days due to the IV treatments that they have been giving me.  I did make it through the Chiefs game last night and I am super proud of my team for making it to first place in the AFC West.  Now we just need to hold it.  I will be up here for many more days and when the doctors feel like I have made some progress, then I get to go home.  So I am trying to get some work done from here.  However, check this out.  A storm system is rolling through starting tomorrow through Monday and the Chicago area is going to pick up some snow.  If you know me I love snow.  Looks like a good 6-10″ is likely.  Heck yeah!

So yeah, I will take that.  I haven’t seen potentially this much snow in a few years with our lack of bigger snows over the past few winters in Joplin.  However, the cold temperatures have been in place across the central and southern plains over this past week.  Looks like another cold night tonight.

At least temperatures warm up some tomorrow.

Plus another storm system rolls in on Sunday.  However we should be on the rain side.

You can see the rain increasing on Saturday night.  By noon on Sunday, it continues to pick up.

Most of the cold rain should exit by Sunday evening.

Our next storm system down the road should move in next Wednesday.  Lets take a look.

You can see the big storm system in southern Canada in Yellow.  Then we have the wave rolling through right on top of us.  Lets go back to October 20th about 55 days prior.  The Jet Stream was much weaker but the same part of the pattern.

We had that same wave dipping through.  This time around we need to see how much moisture we have and how cold will we be.

As of right now we have a chance for a wintry mix.  So I will keep my eyes on this over the next several days.  Remember my long range forecast is below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Rain chances on Sunday and then cool through most of the week.  A wintry mix possible on Wednesday with cold temperatures returning across the area.  Cold temperatures stick around through the weekend.

December 18th-Christmas Eve:  A quick warm up right at the beginning of the week ahead of our next storm system.  Cool temperatures return on Monday with rain or snow chances.  Staying cool through Wednesday with mild temperatures returning into Christmas Eve.

December 26th-New Years Eve:  A mild start to the week with rain and snow chances on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Cold and dry the rest of the week.

January 1st-8th:  A mild start to the week with slight chances for rain on Monday.  Then cold temperatures work in with slight chances for snow by Saturday.

January 9th-14th:  The first half of the week will be cold and dry.  Mild with rain chances on Thursday with colder temperatures for Friday and Saturday with slight chances for snow.

January 15th-21st:  Another cool week with rain or snow chances on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.