Monday Night Blog: More thunderstorms and our long range forecast

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Good Monday evening!  I hope you had a fantastic weekend.  I have been out of the office for over a week at a weather conference in Kansas City.  It was a great conference and enjoyed it greatly.

Our weather has been great over the past few days.  Now we are having some scattered thunderstorms that have been working through and these will continue through the overnight hours.  Let me show you what we will see later this evening.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will drop through this evening and tonight.  Some of these could be strong with a possible severe thunderstorm with the main threat being hail and wind.  Now, most of these will just stay on the strong side but I will watch it.

We will really heat up over the next few days.  The Jet Steam is well north as we will be under a ridge of high pressure.

Now, by the weekend we will see a storm system rotating across the northern plains.  This will drop a cold front in with chances for showers and thunderstorms.  Take a look at this system.

Now remember, we are and have been a 57 day cycle since last July.  So lets go back one cycle to May 3rd and you can see this same storm system rolling through.

This system will drop a front near the area giving us scattered thunderstorm through the holiday weekend.  Some of the storms could even be strong to severe.  Here is midday Sunday.  I am just pulling one day so you can see the scattered thunderstorms across the region.

So of course I will keep my eyes on the holiday weekend forecast over the next few days.

What is to come?  Well it looks like we will stay in a weak El Nino through the fall and into the winter months.  That means the new cycle length will most likely fall in the 50-55 day range.  The new cycle will begin its morphing stage from the old into the new here over the next month or so.  During the morphing process we will also morph from the old pattern and into the new pattern from August until it is completely set by the beginning of October.  I have over the past few years developed a process to be able to tell when and see these changes take place.  I also have a mathematic process on this to help me see the new pattern take place.  We will discuss this in greater details over the next couple of months.

Doug

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dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A warm start to the week with scattered thunderstorms through Wednesday.  Temperatures heat up for the second half of the week and mainly dry.

July 16th-22nd:  Main a hot week with high in the 90s to near 100 degrees.  We will have afternoon pop-up thunderstorms on Monday through Friday.

July 23rd-29th:  A hot start to the week with highs near 100.  However, cooling into the 80s for the second half of the week.  A few scattered thunderstorms from Monday through Thursday.

July 30th-August 5th:  A hot week with high near 100 if not into the 100s.  Very slight chances for thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday.

August 6th-12th:  Another hot week with highs in the 90s to near 100.  A few pop-up storms on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.

August 13th-19th:  Mainly a hot week with highs into the 90s.  Thunderstorm chances on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.

August 20th-26th:  A hot first half of the week but a warm second half.  Thunderstorms or pop-up storms Monday through Thursday.

August 27th-September 2nd:  A warm start to the week with a hot finish with high near 100 degrees.  Mainly dry through the week.

 I will extend the long range forecast through the entire summer here in the next day or two.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Tuesday Afternoon Blog: Long range forecast and pattern update

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Good Tuesday afternoon.  I hope your week is going great so far.  I am off all week but still working at a conference in Kansas City.  However, I did want to update you on what to expect the next few days and of course your long range forecast.

The heat and the humidity are returning, but at the same time, we are also seeing chances for scattered thunderstorms a little later this week.  This is all due to an upper level wave and a tropical wave that are pushing through.  This is very interesting.  It fits the pattern perfectly and right on time with the 57 day cycle we have been in.  Take a look at Thursday.

You can see the wave working through the northern plains.  However, at the same time you can see the tropical system across eastern Texas.  Look at how this all fits together.  Lets go back 57 days, which is one cycle.

Lets go two cycles back to March 1st.

I hope you are used to the heat and humidity, we will see a lot of it this summer.

Doug

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dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next week:  A warm start to the week with scattered thunderstorms through Wednesday.  The heat and humidity pump in for the 4th of July weekend holiday.July 2nd-8th:  The holiday weekend looks great with hot temperatures through the 4th.  Warm the second half of the week with thunderstorm chances on the 5th.

July 9th-15th:  Hot and humid through the first half of the week.  It will turn a little cooler Thursday and Friday with a system working through with a few scattered thunderstorms.

July 16th-22nd:  Temps near 90 most of the week with pop up storms Sunday through Wednesday, and then again by the weekend.

 I will extend the long range forecast through the entire summer here in the next day or two.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Summer looks hot and dry!

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Good Wednesday evening!  I hope you are having a fantastic week so far.  Mine has been busy as usually but actually a pretty good week.  I can believe we are over half way through the first week of June.  Boy does time fly.

I wanted to give you an update on the what the next several weeks look like.  Here is a video I did today, plus my long range forecast is posted below.

Doug

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dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next week:  Hot most of the week with highs into the 90s.  Thunderstorms will start to increase Wednesday through Saturday.

June 18th-24th:  A cooler but warm week across the region.  Thunderstorm chances on Sunday and Monday.  Then they will return for Thursday and Friday.

June 25th-July 1st:  A hot start to the week with the second half of the week warm with highs into the 80s.  Thunderstorm chances on Tuesday and Wednesday

July 2nd-8th:  The holiday weekend looks great with hot temperatures through the 4th.  Warm the second half of the week with thunderstorm chances on the 5th.

July 9th-15th:  Hot most of the week with a brief cool down on Thursday and Friday.  A chance for a few thunderstorms on Thursday.

July 16th-22nd:  Temps near 90 most of the week with pop up storms Sunday through Wednesday, and then again by the weekend.

 

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Beginning of June: How will the summer change

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Good Thursday evening!  I hope your week has been great!  Mine has been pretty good but busy with thunderstorms each and every day.  Severe weather season around here is done on the 10th of this month.  On average we have about 8-10 events during the season.  With a few severe thunderstorm warnings today, this puts us at 17 events this spring.  We haven’t had a ton of tornadoes but it has been a very active spring.  I predicted 12-15 events and being at 17 is a lot.  We have also had a ton of rain.  Here is where we stand going now that we are in June.

The other interesting thing I see is the Jet Stream.  Look at today’s map.

We has a sub tropical southern very weak Jet.  This is what is giving us our spotting storms the past few days with weak waves working through.  However, I see a lot of ridges and take a look at next Friday.

This set-up will give us classic heat waves all summer long.  Also, now that the jet is retreating north, it is going to be harder to get bigger systems into the area.  So our severe threat for big systems is greatly dropping.  We will still have summertime pop-up storms, but the heavy rain events are going to greatly decrease.  In fact, I think July and August will be mainly hot and dry.

Now we will have the scattered storms around over the next couple of weeks.  Our chances increase over the weekend and we could have a few severe storms with some gusty winds and hail.  Here is a look at Saturday and Sunday.

Lets look at Sunday.

On Monday, this front will slip through and cool us down just a hair until the middle of next week.  We should also see a couple dry days before thunderstorm chances return next weekend.

Make sure you check out the long range forecast just below this

Doug

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dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week: A warm week with scattered thunderstorm on Sunday and Monday.  Thunderstorm chances will return for Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

June 11th-17th:  Most of the week is going to be hot with highs into the 90s.  We will have thunderstorm pop-ups on Sunday, and then Tuesday through Saturday.  These are just summer time isolated storms.

June 18th-24th:  High temps into the 80s and 90s through the week with pop-up storms on Sunday and Monday, then again on Thursday and Friday.

June 25th-July 1st:  A hot start to the week with the second half of the week warm with highs into the 80s.  Thunderstorm chances on Tuesday and Wednesday

July 2nd-8th:  The holiday weekend looks great with hot temperatures through the 4th.  Warm the second half of the week with thunderstorm chances on the 5th.

July 9th-15th:  Hot most of the week with a brief cool down on Thursday and Friday.  A chance for a few thunderstorms on Thursday.

July 16th-22nd:  Temps near 90 most of the week with pop up storms Sunday through Wednesday, and then again by the weekend.

 

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Tuesday night/Wednesday AM Blog: Bigger system late this week

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Good Tuesday night!  I hope your week has been great so far.  Mine has been super busy as always but good so far.   A few scattered thunderstorms tonight into the morning hours, but the warm temperatures stick around the next few days.  A stronger system works in Thursday night through Saturday.  Remember we are right about a 57.5 day cycle this year.  That means this next system is the same as roughly 58 days ago.  Lets take a look.

You can see this big system working in on Friday.  Lets go back a couple cycles.  Here is March 24th.

You can see this same system one cycle ago.  Let go two cycles back.

So lets take a look at what we should see at the surface.  Thunderstorms work in Thursday night with severe weather that forms out to our west.

I don’t think these will be severe, but Friday evening an night definitely could be.

Make sure you check out the long range forecast just below this

Doug

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#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week: A cooler start to the week with 70s for a good chunk of the week.  Thunderstorm chances back in on Tuesday and Wednesday with our next storm system.  Warming up with thunderstorms again heading into Memorial weekend.

May 28th-June 3rd:  Scattered thunderstorm through the holiday weekend.  Warm temperatures through most of the week with scattered thunderstorms till Tuesday.  Then another system works in with thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday.

June 4th-10th:  Warm with thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Then slight chances on Friday and Saturday.

June 11th-17th:  Hot most of the week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday.

June 18th-24th:  Hot with thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday.  A little cooler mid week behind this system, but heating back up late in the week.  Slight chances for storms on Saturday

We will have a stretch of hot temperatures from June 8th-12th, the 15th-26th of June will also be another very hot stretch. I will look into July and August in my next blog.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Thursday night Blog: More changes rolling in. How does this fit our pattern? Next severe weather chances

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Good Thursday night!  I hope your week has been great!  Mine has been pretty good, but so busy.  We have had so much rain over the past two weeks and several severe weather events.  It is definitely that time of the year.  At least we are drying out and temperatures are warming back up.  The past couple of days have been on the chilly side and way to wet.  I need it to dry out so I can mow the jungle I have growing around my house.  We will actually see a nice warming trend heading into the weekend.  Our average high is about 76 degrees and we should pass that by the time the weekend rolls around.  Let me show you what is causing our warm-up.

Look at the upper levels.  Our huge rainmaker is slowly pushing east and a huge ridge of high pressure is working in.  Look at the Jet Stream.  It is way up in southern Canada.  This will give us a nice warm-up for the weekend.

Temperatures will press 80 on Saturday and into the lower 80s for Sunday through Wednesday.  Our next storm system won’t even move in until next Wednesday.

You can see how odd the Jet Stream is.  This fits this odd strange pattern we have been in over the 7 to 8 months.  Some of our storms could be on the strong to severe side on Wednesday and Thursday.

Doug

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dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week: A nice warm and dry start to the first half of the week.  Thunderstorms that could be strong to severe on Wednesday and Thursday.  Dry and nice into the weekend.

May 14th-20th:  A mild start to the week with a warming trend into the 80s for highs with thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday. Staying warm most of the week with another round of strong to severe storms on Thursday and Friday.

May 21st-27th:  Warm with thunderstorms that could be severe on Monday and Tuesday.  A second system right behind with possible severe thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.  A little cooler and dry for the first half of the weekend.

May 28th-June 3rd:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday which is memorial day.  We will stay warm most of the week with severe thunderstorms possible Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

June 4th-10th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday, Thursday and Friday.  Warm through the week.

June 11th-17th:  Hot and mainly dry through the week.

June 18th-24th:  A hot start to the week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.  A little cooler for the middle of the week with temperatures warming up late in the week.

We will have a stretch of hot temperatures from June 8th-12th, the 15th-26th of June will also be another very hot stretch. I will look into July and August in my next blog.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Friday Evening Blog: Heavy rains work in and your long range forecast.

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Good Evening!  I hope you guys have had a great week so far.  Well I guess it is almost the weekend thankfully and it has been definitely on the wet side over the past week.  A lot of areas have picked up 5-7″ of rain over the past week.  We will continue to see very heavy rains tonight, tomorrow and Sunday.  We are right on track with the Heady Pattern.  We will stay in this current pattern through the summer into the early fall.  However, the cycle (distance between storm systems) will start to shift by mid summer. Let me show you where we are at in the pattern with our next big rain event rolling in.

You can see this massive system pushing into the central plains.  Now, this is the exact same system we saw back on Feb. 28th.  We also had severe weather the last time this rolled through.

So we are right on target with where we should be with this system.  So lets dig into it.  Thunderstorms really get going mid to late evening.  Here is a look at 11pm tonight.

Now any severe weather tonight will mainly stay south of the region along the warm front.  However, as the warm front lifts north tonight, our airmass will become a little bit more unstable.  Lets move to Saturday AM.

Heavy amounts of rain with a low severe threat.  If we had any severe storms the main threat will be hail across the region.  Periods of showers and thunderstorms Saturday with heavy amounts of rain.  Lets move to Saturday evening.

The heaviest rain will push east on Saturday night, but we will still have on and off showers on Sunday.

We will work on the much colder side of the system on Sunday as you can see the snow not that far to the west.  We will have a couple days to dry out before the next rain chances roll in on Wednesday and Thursday.

Remember to check out my long range forecast below.

Doug

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dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week: A cool start to the week with drier conditions working in for Monday and Tuesday.  Our next system works in on Wednesday and Thursday with additional showers and thunderstorms.  However, at this time it doesn’t look severe.  Rain chances sneak back in for the weekend.

May 7th-13th: Warming up for the beginning of the week with thunderstorms chances on Wednesday and Thursday.  Dry and a little cooler the rest of the week.

May 14th-20th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorms chances on Tuesday and Friday.  We will have a severe threat with both of these systems and temperatures stay fairly warm through the week.

May 21st-27th:  Warm with thunderstorms that could be severe on Monday and Tuesday.  A second system right behind with possible severe thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.  A little cooler and dry for the first half of the weekend.

May 28th-June 3rd:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday which is memorial day.  We will stay warm most of the week with severe thunderstorms possible Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

June 4th-10th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday, Thursday and Friday.  Warm through the week.

June 11th-17th:  Hot and mainly dry through the week.

June 18th-24th:  A hot start to the week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.  A little cooler for the middle of the week with temperatures warming up late in the week.

We will have a stretch of hot temperatures from June 8th-12th, the 15th-26th of June will also be another very hot stretch. I will look into July and August in my next blog.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Wednesday Night Blog: Heavy Rains and your long range forecast.

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Good Wednesday night!  I hope your week is going fantastic!  Mine has been pretty good actually.  I am enjoying this fantastic weather and have been getting a ton of projects done around the house.  I was off for a week as I had to take a road trip to Chicago and get a few changes on my migraine treatment.  But I am back and in the swing of things.  We have a couple of storm systems rolling in over the next three days that could give most of the area in the range of 2-4″ of rain.  That is a lot of rain, I should have mowed today!

Thunderstorms will roll in late tonight and Thursday morning.  However, the severe threat is low, but I will watch it.  Here is a look at late tonight.

I think severe threat is low but will be watched.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through the morning but shift south by the afternoon hours.  However, as the next wave rolls in the rain will shift back north late Thursday night.

Periods of showers and thunderstorms on Friday with heavy amounts of rain.

It looks like most of the severe threat will stay just south of the area.  But I will watch it.  Showers will stick around through at least Saturday morning.  Plus much cooler temperatures.  We are right on track with the Heady Pattern.  We are about to wrap with the 5th cycle we have seen in this stretch.  Here in just a couple of months the new cycle will start.  We  have been in a 57 day cycle since last July.  Here is a look at the system rolling through Friday and Saturday.

Now the Jet Stream was stronger back in February but here is the same system on Feb 24th 57 days earlier.

Make sure you check out my long range forecast below.  Here shortly I will take it out through the entire summer and into early fall week by week for you.

Doug

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dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week: A cool start to the week, but a big warm-up by the middle of the week with thunderstorm chances on Wednesday and Thursday.

April 30th-May 6th: A mild start to the week, but warming up quickly.  Thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday.   A little cooler the rest of the week with thunderstorms again on Saturday.

May 7th-13th: Great temperatures most of the week with thunderstorms on Monday, Thursday and Friday. Temperatures should be into the mid 80s to near 90 most of the week.

May 14th-20th:  A warm week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Thursday.  Better chances for thunderstorms that could be severe by the weekend.

May 21st-27th:  A cooler start to the week with mild temperatures and showers on Sunday.  Warming back up for the second half of the week.  Thunderstorms, that could be severe on Wednesday and Friday.

May 28th-June 3rd:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday.  Really heating up for the middle of the week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday.

June 4th-10th:  A warm to hot week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Thursday and Saturday.

We will have a stretch of hot temperatures from June 8th-12th, the 15th-26th of June will also be another very hot stretch. I will look into July and August in my next blog.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

1:30pm Blog: Severe weather threat, plus your long range forecast

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Good Tuesday afternoon.  I hope everyone is having a great days so far.  Mine has been busy as always.  I am going to get ready and shoot into work here shortly.  However, I want to go over our severe weather threat for this evening.

The main threat is very large hail, gusty winds and a lower tornado threat.

Hail:  High threat

Wind:  Elevated threat

Tornado:  Low threat

Temperatures have been hanging around 60 degrees most of the day.  However, a warm front is surging north and that will pop our temperatures up this afternoon.  That warm front will be right on top of us during the evening hours.  This put us at the triple point of this wave.  That means where the warm front/cold front/low pressure all meet.  That atmosphere is decently stable right now, but will become unstable through the afternoon hours as the front surges north.  The greatest threat for severe weather is from Fredonia-Parsons-Pittsburg-Lamar-Lockwood and points south.  This system is right on track with my pattern.  We are in the 5th cycle of this current pattern.  We are sitting on a cycle of 57.5 days.  That means our weather systems match from 57 days ago and 57 days ahead down the road.  So lets look at what we should see through the evening hours.

Lets step through the radar.  Here is a look at 5pm.

You can see the storms getting going across NE OK and SE KS.  Now the tornado threat is low, but if we see a couple tornadoes it will occur between 5-7pm with the greatest area threat being NE OK and extreme SE KS.  Lets move to 7pm.

At this time we are looking at mainly a wind and hail threat as the storms push into SW MO and NW AR.

By 10pm, the storms are long gone and the colder air will filter in for Wednesday with on and off showers.

Doug

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#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

April 9th-15th: Showers and thunderstorms working back in late Sunday and Monday.  Some of these could be on the strong side.  We will see another system working in on Wednesday and Thursday with chances for thunderstorms.  Thunderstorm chances will return for the weekend.

April 16th-22nd: Warm with thunderstorms that could be severe on Sunday and Monday. Another system on Thursday and Friday with also strong to severe storms. Most of the week, highs will be near 80 degrees.

April 23rd-29th: A warming trend through the beginning of the week with thunderstorm chances on Tuesday and Wednesday. Warm and dry the rest of the week. Temperatures the second half of the week could press 90 degrees.

April 30th-May 6th: A warm start to the week with thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday. Some of these could be strong to severe. Additional thunderstorm chances on Thursday with our next system working through. Temperatures should be into the mid to upper 70s to near 80 degrees.

May 7th-13th: Great temperatures most of the week with thunderstorms on Monday, Thursday and Friday. Temperatures should be into the mid 80s to near 90 most of the week.

May 14th-20th:  A warm week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Thursday.  Better chances for thunderstorms that could be severe by the weekend.

May 21st-27th:  A cooler start to the week with mild temperatures and showers on Sunday.  Warming back up for the second half of the week.  Thunderstorms, that could be severe on Wednesday and Friday.

May 28th-June 3rd:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday.  Really heating up for the middle of the week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday.

June 4th-10th:  A warm to hot week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Thursday and Saturday.

We will have a stretch of hot temperatures from June 8th-12th, the 15th-26th of June will also be another very hot stretch. I will look into July and August in my next blog.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Monday Evening Blog: Severe weather chances and your super long range forecast.

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Good Monday Evening!  I hope you had a fantastic weekend!  Mine was pretty good.  I got a ton of cleaning done and even did some outside yard work and mowed.  My grass was quickly shooting up, so it was time to take care of it.  My yard is mole city.  Where I don’t have moles, I have huge holes from my dog digging up moles.  So to say the least, it was a rough ride on the mower.

The weather was great on Sunday.  We had the thunderstorms last night and this morning.  It was definitely a much cooler day today, but more changes working in.  We should shoot near 70 on Tuesday.  However, our next storm system quickly works in Tuesday night and Wednesday.  After midnight Tuesday night, we should see a batch of thunderstorms driving in.

We could see a few strong storms, but I am not expecting anything severe.  Scattered thunderstorms will continue into Wednesday morning, then mostly cloudy skies.  The main wave will kick out on Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Thunderstorms will develop Wednesday afternoon, evening and through the night time hours.  Here is a look at early Wednesday evening.

I put the front on here for you.  We will be very close to the warm front.  Now north of the warm front, I really don’t expect a severe threat.  So the areas with a severe threat will be along and south of that front.  That means mainly the southern half of the viewing area.  Some of these should be strong to severe weather main threat being wind and hail.  I think the greatest severe threat will stay from NW AM and east central OK points south.

Now it stays active as we will continue to see wave after wave.  We are right on target and right where we should be with the Heady Pattern.  We have been sitting in a 57 day cycle since last July.  So this is our 5th cycle we have seen.  Check out my super long range forecast below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week: Mild with temperatures into the 60s to start the week with showers on Sunday and Monday. We will warm up for the middle of the week with thunderstorms on Thursday and then again on Saturday.  Some of these could be strong to severe.

April 9th-15th: A cool start to the week but warming up by the middle of the week with temps most likely into the 80s.  A storm system on Thursday and Saturday with thunderstorms chances.

April 16th-22nd: Warm with thunderstorms that could be severe on Sunday and Monday. Another system on Thursday and Friday with also strong to severe storms. Most of the week, highs will be near 80 degrees.

April 23rd-29th: A warming trend through the beginning of the week with thunderstorm chances on Tuesday and Wednesday. Warm and dry the rest of the week. Temperatures the second half of the week could press 90 degrees.

April 30th-May 6th: A warm start to the week with thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday. Some of these could be strong to severe. Additional thunderstorm chances on Thursday with our next system working through. Temperatures should be into the mid to upper 70s to near 80 degrees.

May 7th-13th: Great temperatures most of the week with thunderstorms on Monday, Thursday and Friday. Temperatures should be into the mid 80s to near 90 most of the week.

May 14th-20th:  A warm week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Thursday.  Better chances for thunderstorms that could be severe by the weekend.

May 21st-27th:  A cooler start to the week with mild temperatures and showers on Sunday.  Warming back up for the second half of the week.  Thunderstorms, that could be severe on Wednesday and Friday.

May 28th-June 3rd:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday.  Really heating up for the middle of the week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday.

June 4th-10th:  A warm to hot week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Thursday and Saturday.

We will have a stretch of hot temperatures from June 8th-12th, the 15th-26th of June will also be another very hot stretch. I will look into July and August in my next blog.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS