Good late morning! I hope you are having a great Wednesday so far. Mine has been pretty good, just plugging away at some work as usual. Of course I have been glancing over today’s severe weather set-up for the central plains. It is an interesting set-up, and something we want to watch. This storm fall right in the pattern and actually all the way down to the micro-scale. We are going to keep seeing this set-up through the spring with drylines setting up across central and eastern KS and OK. This is our second one in a week and we will continue to see them over the next couple of months. Lets look at today.
I put a red circle around the areas with a severe threat. The orange circle are the areas with a little higher threat. The higher threats will be St. Joe, KC, Lawrence, Emporia, Chanute, Yates Center, Fredonia. Also areas farther south from Dallas into SE OK and a good chunk of AR. Scattered and I do mean scattered thunderstorms will pop-up over the next few hours across the region and push through during the afternoon hours.
Here is a look at 3pm. Scattered thunderstorms with mainly small hail through AR, OK, MO and KS during the afternoon hours. Some clearing will take place ahead of the dryline (black dotted line) out west and storms will start going probably around 4pm. These storms will race ENE across KS and OK. Lets work through the evening hours.
Here is a look at 5 pm. The storms now in eastern KS south into OK, could be strong to severe. They should have strong winds with hail and possibly a few isolated tornadoes. However, they will be scattered, they won’t be a line of storms. They will continue to press NE.
Let move to 7pm. The dryline/front now is pushing the state line of KS/MO. Hail and wind is the primary threat with still a few isolated tornadoes possible. However, again you can see these storms are scattered. At this time the storms will start to quickly break up.
Isolated storms by 9pm. However, the severe threat starts to decrease and the storms start working east quickly.
Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady
LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.
Next Week: Mild start to the week with slight chances for showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday. Slight chances for storms return on Friday as well.
April 10th-16th: Mild with slight chances for thunderstorms on Monday. Good chances for storms on Wednesday with cooler temperatures working in for the rest of the week.
April 17th-23rd: Thunderstorm chances that could be severe to start the week. Then mild temperatures the rest of the week with slight chances for storms on Friday and Saturday.
April 24th-30th: Warming up for the beginning of the week with good chances for storms by the middle of the week. Mild temperatures the rest of the week with slight chances for storms on Friday and Saturday.
May 1st-7th: A warming trend through the week with good chances for storms on Wednesday and Thursday that could be severe. Mild and dry the rest of the week.
May 8th-14th: A warm start to the week with good chances for storms that could be severe on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. Cooling down for the weekend.
May 15th-21st: Warm with thunderstorms on Sunday. Mild temperatures Monday and Tuesday with slight chances for storms on Tuesday. Warming back up the rest of the week with thunderstorm chances on Friday and Saturday that could be severe.
May 22nd-28th: Warm through the first half of the week with thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday. Mild temperatures the second half of the week.
May 29th-June4th: Mild temperatures with very slight chances for storms to start the week. Warm the rest of the week with better chances for storms on Thursday.
June 5th-11th: Warm with thunderstorm chances on Monday and Tuesday. Staying warm through most of the week with additional thunderstorm chances on Thursday and Saturday.
June 12th-18th: Warm with slight chances for thunderstorms each day this week as we work into more of a summertime pattern.