Archive: May 2017

Tuesday night/Wednesday AM Blog: Bigger system late this week

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Good Tuesday night!  I hope your week has been great so far.  Mine has been super busy as always but good so far.   A few scattered thunderstorms tonight into the morning hours, but the warm temperatures stick around the next few days.  A stronger system works in Thursday night through Saturday.  Remember we are right about a 57.5 day cycle this year.  That means this next system is the same as roughly 58 days ago.  Lets take a look.

You can see this big system working in on Friday.  Lets go back a couple cycles.  Here is March 24th.

You can see this same system one cycle ago.  Let go two cycles back.

So lets take a look at what we should see at the surface.  Thunderstorms work in Thursday night with severe weather that forms out to our west.

I don’t think these will be severe, but Friday evening an night definitely could be.

Make sure you check out the long range forecast just below this

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week: A cooler start to the week with 70s for a good chunk of the week.  Thunderstorm chances back in on Tuesday and Wednesday with our next storm system.  Warming up with thunderstorms again heading into Memorial weekend.

May 28th-June 3rd:  Scattered thunderstorm through the holiday weekend.  Warm temperatures through most of the week with scattered thunderstorms till Tuesday.  Then another system works in with thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday.

June 4th-10th:  Warm with thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Then slight chances on Friday and Saturday.

June 11th-17th:  Hot most of the week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday.

June 18th-24th:  Hot with thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday.  A little cooler mid week behind this system, but heating back up late in the week.  Slight chances for storms on Saturday

We will have a stretch of hot temperatures from June 8th-12th, the 15th-26th of June will also be another very hot stretch. I will look into July and August in my next blog.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Thursday night Blog: More changes rolling in. How does this fit our pattern? Next severe weather chances

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Good Thursday night!  I hope your week has been great!  Mine has been pretty good, but so busy.  We have had so much rain over the past two weeks and several severe weather events.  It is definitely that time of the year.  At least we are drying out and temperatures are warming back up.  The past couple of days have been on the chilly side and way to wet.  I need it to dry out so I can mow the jungle I have growing around my house.  We will actually see a nice warming trend heading into the weekend.  Our average high is about 76 degrees and we should pass that by the time the weekend rolls around.  Let me show you what is causing our warm-up.

Look at the upper levels.  Our huge rainmaker is slowly pushing east and a huge ridge of high pressure is working in.  Look at the Jet Stream.  It is way up in southern Canada.  This will give us a nice warm-up for the weekend.

Temperatures will press 80 on Saturday and into the lower 80s for Sunday through Wednesday.  Our next storm system won’t even move in until next Wednesday.

You can see how odd the Jet Stream is.  This fits this odd strange pattern we have been in over the 7 to 8 months.  Some of our storms could be on the strong to severe side on Wednesday and Thursday.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week: A nice warm and dry start to the first half of the week.  Thunderstorms that could be strong to severe on Wednesday and Thursday.  Dry and nice into the weekend.

May 14th-20th:  A mild start to the week with a warming trend into the 80s for highs with thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday. Staying warm most of the week with another round of strong to severe storms on Thursday and Friday.

May 21st-27th:  Warm with thunderstorms that could be severe on Monday and Tuesday.  A second system right behind with possible severe thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.  A little cooler and dry for the first half of the weekend.

May 28th-June 3rd:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday which is memorial day.  We will stay warm most of the week with severe thunderstorms possible Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

June 4th-10th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday, Thursday and Friday.  Warm through the week.

June 11th-17th:  Hot and mainly dry through the week.

June 18th-24th:  A hot start to the week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.  A little cooler for the middle of the week with temperatures warming up late in the week.

We will have a stretch of hot temperatures from June 8th-12th, the 15th-26th of June will also be another very hot stretch. I will look into July and August in my next blog.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS