Archive: Sep 2017

Tuesday night/Wednesday AM: Great temperatures, next system, long range forecast

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Good Tuesday night/Wednesday morning.  I hope your week is going great so far.  Mine has been crazy busy so far this week.  We have gotten a few new toys at work that I am trying to quickly figure out.  Also, we have had changes with the weather the past two days.  A cold front rolled through the area that has greatly dropped our temperatures, plus we have had some showers which we could use.  Showers will pick up again in the early morning hours.

I do think any showers will dissipate during the afternoon hours.  Then we look great for the next few days.  Lets jump into early next week.

We are looking at the Jet Stream level, but I put on the surface front for you.  We will warm up as we are under a ridge, but with a front hanging around, we will have at least a slight chance for pop up showers all most each day next week.

NEW HEADY PATTERN

The new cycle has been cycling for a couple of months now.  You can still see signs of the old cycle and pattern but are quickly dissipating as the new pattern has now begun.  It will be completely set around October 10th.  So lets jump down the road about a week and a half.

Due to the storm system to our west, we will be warm ahead of it.  However, this should be a decently wet system here in about two weeks.  However, this shows great evidence of the new pattern as this type of system digging deep in the SW in a newer trend.  So here we go.  I have the new cycle pretty much to a T.  However, I want to see how it reacts with the new pattern over the next month.  I will keep you updated.  Remember, my long range forecast is below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Warm with highs in the 80s most of the week.

October 8th-14th:  A warm start to the week with scattered showers sticking around.  Cooling down for the middle and later half of the week with a couple systems working through.  Rain chances Wednesday through Friday.

October 15th-21st:  A cool start to the week with a slow warming trend through the middle of the week.  Rain chances Wednesday through Friday which should cool us right back down for the weekend.

October 22nd-28th:  A mild start to the week with rain chances on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Turning sharply cooler the rest of the week.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Tuesday night/Wednesday AM Blog: Your long range forecast.

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Well the heat has returned!  Fall officially begins on Friday and it won’t feel like it.  Plus we will mainly stay dry over the next few days.  However, changes are coming.  Check out my latest video-cast.

Long range forecast below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Starting to cool down through the week with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Additional rain chances on Thursday and Friday.

October 1st-7th:  Showers on Sunday and Monday with cooler temperatures working in for most of the week.  Additional rain chances by Saturday.

October 8th-14th:  A cool start to the week with warmer temps by mid week into the 70s.  Cooling back down late in the week.  Rain chances on Tuesday, Wednesday and Saturday.

October 15th-21st:  A cool start to the week with mild temperatures through the middle of the week.  Cooling right back down for the weekend.  Rain chances on Thursday.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Rain chances! Heat! A look down the road.

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Good Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.  I hope your week has been great!  Mine is pretty good just busy as normal.  I am super bored with the weather.  August, September and October are so boring around here.  Our weather starts really picking back up in November and lasts into July.

Right now we have been dealing with the clouds from Irma.

The rain has stayed just east, but we have the thicker clouds.  However, Irma will eject out tomorrow and sunshine returns.

We will start a warming trend with temperatures around 90 into the weekend.  Next system will start to effect us on Saturday.

However, I think the better chances for rain will hold off until Saturday night and Sunday morning.  Next system after that is Tuesday.

This system will keep temperatures warm but rain chances around through the middle of the week.  So move to next Thursday, I want to look at the Heady Pattern or CPH (Cycling Pattern Hypothesis.

This is interesting.  The Jet Stream is getting strong and diving system into the central plains.  Now, we are still on the old pattern (The way systems react).  However, the new cycle has been going for a while but reacting to the old pattern.  The cycle is the amount of dates it takes for a system to repeat.  The new pattern will start here in about two weeks, so it will be very interesting to see how the new cycle reacts with the new pattern.  We have slid back into a La Nina, this places an important roll on how long the cycle will be.  This year we will be on a longer cycle once again.  I have it fairly well pegged out, but I still want to test it a couple more weeks.

Long range forecast below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Warm temperatures with mainly 80s through the week.  Mainly dry through the week.

September 17th-23rd:  A warm start to the week with rain chances through about Tuesday.  Mild 70s through the middle of the week with 80s returning late in the week.  Also rain chances for Thursday and Friday.

September 24th-30th:  A warm start with 80s at the beginning of the week.  A cool finish with highs into the 60s the second half of the week.  Rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.

October 1st-7th:  Cool most of the week with highs in the 50s and 60s. Rain chances on Sunday, Wednesday and Saturday.

October 8th-14th:  A cool start to the week with warmer temps by mid week into the 70s.  Cooling back down late in the week.  Rain chances on Tuesday, Wednesday and Saturday.

October 15th-21st:  A cool start to the week with mild temperatures through the middle of the week.  Cooling right back down for the weekend.  Rain chances on Thursday.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

Irma, next storm system and the long range forecast

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Hey good Wednesday night!  I hope you are having a great week so far.  Just a couple of days and back into the swing of the weekend.  Plus the weather has been fantastic, so  you can’t beat that.  Also the weather looks great over the next few days.  Here is my latest video blog with what is to come.

Remember, long range forecast is below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Warm temperatures with mainly 80s through the week.  Mainly dry through the week.

September 17th-23rd:  A warm start to the week with rain chances through about Tuesday.  Mild 70s through the middle of the week with 80s returning late in the week.  Also rain chances for Thursday and Friday.

September 24th-30th:  A warm start with 80s at the beginning of the week.  A cool finish with highs into the 60s the second half of the week.  Rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.

October 1st-7th:  Cool most of the week with highs in the 50s and 60s. Rain chances on Sunday, Wednesday and Saturday.

October 8th-14th:  A cool start to the week with warmer temps by mid week into the 70s.  Cooling back down late in the week.  Rain chances on Tuesday, Wednesday and Saturday.

October 15th-21st:  A cool start to the week with mild temperatures through the middle of the week.  Cooling right back down for the weekend.  Rain chances on Thursday.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS

 

Long Range Forecast!

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I wanted to makes sure to give you a video with the month long forecast.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A warm start to the week with showers on Tuesday.  Turning much cooler the second half of the week with highs in the 60s and 70s.

September 10th-16th:  Most of the week warm with highs into the 80s.  Rain chances with two systems from Wednesday through Saturday.

September 17th-23rd:  A warm start to the week with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.  We will cool down through the middle of the week with warm temps back in by the weekend.

September 24th-30th:  A warm start to the week with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Turning much cooler the rest of the week.

October 1st-7th:  Cool most of the week with highs in the 50s and 60s. Rain chances on Sunday, Wednesday and Saturday.

October 8th-14th:  A cool start to the week with warmer temps by mid week into the 70s.  Cooling back down late in the week.  Rain chances on Tuesday, Wednesday and Saturday.

October 15th-21st:  A cool start to the week with mild temperatures through the middle of the week.  Cooling right back down for the weekend.  Rain chances on Thursday.

 

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS