Severe weather has been ongoing for several hours now across central KS, central and western OK. There have been a few tornado warnings but most of these have been producing large hail and gusty winds. This has all been going right along a dryline with the storms lifting NE. At this time, the thunderstorms will slowly switching into a line of thunderstorms with individual supercells in the line. Once we get this line complete, the line will start to plow off toward the east. Because we are going to see more of a line of storms through the rest of the evening, the main threat will be wind and hail with a lower tornado threat. Now, we do get tornadoes in lines of thunderstorms. However, usually the tornadoes are shorter lived and smaller but something we want to watch as work through the evening hours. The line really gets going by 8-9pm
By 11pm, the line should be in SW MO and NW AR.
After midnight, we will just have a high wind and hail threat with a very low tornado threat. These storms will continue to push east and weaken after midnight. Here is a look at 1am.
Another threat with this line of storms will be heavy rains. Most areas will pick up 1-3″ of rain.
Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady
LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.
Next Week: A mild and nice start to the week with thunderstorm chances returning for Wednesday and Thursday. Cooling down a bit again with mainly dry conditions heading into the weekend.
May 8th-14th: A warm start to the week with slight chances for storms on Sunday. Staying warm most of the week with thunderstorms and a good shot at being severe on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday as two waves work through the area. This is probably going to be a big hyped event!
May 15th-21st: Warm with thunderstorms on Sunday. Mild temperatures Monday and Tuesday with slight chances for storms on Tuesday. Warming back up the rest of the week with thunderstorm chances on Friday and Saturday that could be severe.
May 22nd-28th: Warm through the first half of the week with thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday. Mild temperatures the second half of the week.
May 29th-June4th: Mild temperatures with very slight chances for storms to start the week. Warm the rest of the week with better chances for storms on Thursday.
June 5th-11th: Warm with thunderstorm chances on Monday and Tuesday. Staying warm through most of the week with additional thunderstorm chances on Thursday and Saturday.
June 12th-18th: Warm with slight chances for thunderstorms each day this week as we work into more of a summertime pattern.