Good Friday morning!  I hope your week is going fantastic!  Mine has been pretty good, but super busy.  I am ready for the weekend as I think most people usually are.  Plus we are going to see our second great weather weekend in a row.  That is very hard to say in the month of February.  This has been a very interesting winter.  In Joplin, we average 16″ of snow in a season.  Last year we had a record low of 2″ and this season so far we are at 2.5″.  That is a total of 4.5″ when we should be at 32″.  That is crazy!  Again this year we are just in a bad pattern.  We haven’t been able to get much arctic air and we haven’t had a ton of storm systems.  This highly worries me as we work into late spring and summer.  Could we be heading toward drought conditions for the summer.  I am going to dig into this and our severe weather outlook for the spring here shortly.

We are right on track with the Heady Pattern.  We continue this years cycle at about 56-57 days.  This is the same cycle that we have been in since late July.  That means this cycle will be shifting once again here in about 5 months.  Take a look at what we are seeing for today.

We have a weak wave across Texas.  This will give us clouds over the next couple days and maybe a random showers.  Look at the system off the California coast.  That is a bigger system that will move in on Monday and Tuesday.  First off, lets look at Saturday.

You can see most of the showers stay SE of us on Saturday.  However, just close enough we could see a random showers.  Look out west.  California is getting rocked once again.  They have thankfully gotten a lot of rain lately.  That is the system that gives us rain on Monday and Tuesday.  Here is a look at Monday.

It will stay decently active from this point on.  Our next system, that again looks like mainly rain will roll in on Thursday and Friday.  Here is a look at Friday.

After this point, we could see the arctic trying to return for a short period of time.  Lets see how it falls in place.

Make sure you check out my long range forecast below!

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Mild with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Staying mild most of the week with rain chances returning late Thursday, Friday and some showers on Saturday.

February 26th-March 4th:  A much colder week with rain chances returning for Monday and Tuesday.  Cool the rest of the week with rain chances returning for the weekend.

March 5th-11th:  A cool start to the week with rain and snow chances on Sunday.  Staying cool most of the week with rain chances on Wednesday.  Warming up for the weekend.

March 12th-18th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday.  Turing cooler the rest of the week with rain chances by the weekend.

March 19th-25th:  Mild to start the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday and Monday.  The next system is in on Wednesday and Thursday with additional thunderstorm chances.  Cooling down as we head into the weekend.

March 26th-April 1st:  A cool start to the week with a warming trend through the week.  Warm temperatures by late weekend with rain chances for the weekend.

April 2nd-8th:  A warm start to the week with rain chances on Tuesday.  Cooling down for a couple of days but warming back up by the weekend.

April 9th-15th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday and Monday.  Cooler for the middle of the week with rain chances on Thursday and Friday.