Happy Friday!  I hope your week was great and enjoying your Friday so far. Mine has been pretty good, just a little tired.  Up early to take my son to school and have been running around in the yard so far this morning.  Wow, what a great day!  Temperatures are going to continue to warm up with sunny skies.  Most of us should go in the 73-76 range.

Temps today

Even warmer tomorrow as we press 80.

Saturday temps

However, when we look at the Heady Pattern, we are going to jump back into the active stretch of the pattern here over the next few weeks.  Remember, we are in a 49.5 day cycle that will last a few more months before the new one kicks off during the middle of the summer.  We are right on target with where we should be with our next storm systems working in next week.  In fact, we have 3 systems next week rolling through.  The first one is on Sunday.

Sunday 500

The low is up in northern Nebraska so that puts the best energy and lift just NW of us in the red circle.  Plus this system doesn’t have a ton of moisture but it will fire showers and thunderstorms by Sunday.  The ones that do pop-up could be strong to severe.

Precip Sunday evening

Next system rolls in on Tuesday.

Tuesday 500

This is a much stronger system with a neg. tilt meaning it is leaning back toward the NW.  This will provide more energy for the system which I circled in the red having the best shot for severe storms on Tuesday evening.

Tuesday precip

I will keep you updated.

#headypattern #mowx #kswx #okwx #arwx

Doug

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A few scattered storms Sunday and into Monday.  This will be pretty scattered but the ones that get going could be strong to severe.  A much stronger system moves in for Tuesday and Wednesday.  A higher threat for severe storms on Tuesday evening and into Wednesday.  Even a third system works in late Friday and Saturday.

May 1st-7th:  A mild and dry start to the week with warmer temperatures by the middle of the week.  Our next system rolls in by Wednesday and Thursday.  Again a severe threat works into the area.  Cooler and dryer for Friday and Saturday.

May 8th-14th: A warm start to the week with slight chances for storms on Sunday.  Staying warm most of the week with thunderstorms and a good shot at being severe on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday as two waves work through the area.  This is probably going to be a big hyped event!

May 15th-21st: Warm with thunderstorms on Sunday.  Mild temperatures Monday and Tuesday with slight chances for storms on Tuesday.  Warming back up the rest of the week with thunderstorm chances on Friday and Saturday that could be severe.

May 22nd-28th:  Warm through the first half of the week with thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Mild temperatures the second half of the week.

May 29th-June4th:  Mild temperatures with very slight chances for storms to start the week.  Warm the rest of the week with better chances for storms on Thursday.

June 5th-11th:  Warm with thunderstorm chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Staying warm through most of the week with additional thunderstorm chances on Thursday and Saturday.

June 12th-18th:  Warm with slight chances for thunderstorms each day this week as we work into more of a summertime pattern.