Good Friday night!  I hope you had a great work week.  Mine was super busy but in general it was a pretty good week.  My best friend sent me a weber grill that showed up at my house a couple days ago.  I need to get this puppy together and start grilling with charcoal.  He is a master at slow cooking with indirect heat and obviously thinks my propane cooking is subpar.  So we will give it a shot over the weekend.  Plus the weather is going to be amazing over the weekend behind this cold front that rolls through later tonight.  Also the Chiefs get going on Sunday.  I am a diehard fan and I am ready for yet another season of Chiefs football.  Of course they are going to the Super Bowl like I say every years at this time.  And of course I am let down every single year.

Thunderstorms with heavy rains will continue for us tonight.  Lets take a look.

tonight-rain

Behind this system, temperatures really cool down.  Look at the highs on Saturday.

saturday-highs

If that isn’t fall-like, check out the lows Saturday night.

sunday-lows

Not to bad!  How does this all fit into the Heady Pattern?  Well remember the new pattern will be completely set here in about 2 weeks.  The recurring cycle with-in the pattern is already cycling and has been cycling for a couple three months now.  Lets look at this system.

500

Look at the Jet Stream and the system in the northern plains and the one north of the Pacific NW.  Lets go back to July 13th.

july-13th

We have the same look here.  The Jet Stream is weaker, so it isn’t dipping as far south.  However, you can see the two systems roughly in the same spot.  I will continue to watch this and keep you updated as I figure out the fall and winter.

#headypattern

#4stateweather

Doug

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A warm week with scattered thunderstorms Tuesday through Saturday.

September 18th-24th:  A warm start to the week with a mild second half of the week.  Rain chances on Sunday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday.

September 25th-October 1st:  Mild temperatures to start the week with a warm finish.  Rain chances on Thursday and Saturday.

October 2nd-8th:  Another mild start to the week with a warm finish.  Rain chances on Sunday, Monday and Saturday.

October 9th-15:  A mild start to the week with cooler temperatures working in for the middle of the week.  We will warm back up a bit toward the weekend.  Rain chances on Sunday and Monday, then again on Saturday.

October 16th-22nd:  Storm system rolls in on Sunday and Monday with rain chances.  Turns much colder through the middle of the week.  This could be our first frost!  Mild temperatures return for the late week with rain chances by the weekend.

October 23rd-29th:  A mild start to the week with rain chances on Sunday and Monday.  The rest of the week dry with mild temperatures.