Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

I hope you had a great week!  Mine has been ok, I have been pretty sick all week.  However, I think I am on the upswing.  I have a conference I will be at for the next 6 days so I won’t have another update until next Thursday.  Here is a break down of our next storm system and the long range forecast.  When will we get snow?

I will keep you up to date on all of the changes.  Remember, my long range forecast is posted below.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A much warmer week with our next system on Thursday.  It looks like mainly rain right now but could mix with a little snow.  Colder for the weekend.

January 14h-20th:  A cool start to the week but warming up for the middle of the week.  Rain chances on Tuesday and Wednesday, but staying mild the rest of the week.  Rain chances return for the weekend.

January 21st-27th:  A mild start to the week with rain, then rain and snow chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Turning colder the rest of the week.

January 28th-February 3rd:  Cold most of the week with rain or snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Slight chances for snow on Friday.

February 4th-10th:  Mainly another cold week with rain and snow chances on Sunday, Wednesday and Thursday.

February 11th-17th:  Another cold week with rain and snow chances on Tuesday and a slight chance on Thursday.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS