Good Friday afternoon.  I hope you are enjoying your Friday so far.  I have been running errands all morning and just got back home to do a little work before I head off to work.  I would like to get outside and do a couple things real quick as well.  If you know me, I like to squeeze about 15 things into about an hour if that is possible.  Now that is never possible but trust me I will always try, lol.

We have had more scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region this morning like we have had over the past few days.  We have had a front hanging out all week long with waves passing by.  That is why the central and southern plains have had rounds of showers and thunderstorms.  This has been a big switch compared to the heat and humidity we had over the past couple of weeks.  However, this all fits into our pattern and this is what we should be having right now.  The old pattern is still in place but dying out as the new pattern is slowly evolving.  The new cycle for that pattern is already in place and completely set.  The old cycle of 49 days is also still running but will slowly die over the next two months.  The new cycle will continue to get stronger over the next two months.  This is the great time of the year where you can use either the new or old cycle to long range forecast.  I actually don’t want to say the new cycle length, lol.  I have others that like to get that info from me so I am keeping it to myself for now.  However, it doesn’t effect any of you guys and gals.  So what will happen today and over the next few days?

Additional scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours for us today.

This Afternoon

Most of the scattered storms will be along and south of I-44.  The best chances will be in OK and AR.  I also expect another complex to roll along the front working east tonight.

SaturdayAM

So by morning, showers and thunderstorms from southern KS, SE KS, SW MO, OK and AR.  Some of these could be on the strong side with some additional heavy rains.  During the afternoon with the heating of the day, we will have pop-up storms again along and near the front.

Saturday PM

As we work into Sunday, this warm front will start to lift north and wash out.  However, still expect scattered thunderstorms along the front but farther north into eastern KS, western and central MO.

Sunday PM

Watch what happens by Monday.  Our big ridge of High pressure works back in and shoves the Jet Stream will north.  This allows the heat and humidity to really kick back in.

Monday 500

Look at the heat by Monday.

Monday temps

Ugh!!!!!!!!!  Your long range forecast is posted below based of the Heady Pattern.

#headypattern

Doug

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

Instagram: @headydoug

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Hot and humid most of the week with slight chances for thunderstorms from Thursday through Saturday.

August 7th-13th:  A warm start to the week with the heat really kicking in by the middle of the week.  Hot temperatures stick around the rest of the week with slight chances for rain by the weekend.

August 14th-20th:  Hot once again with slight chances for rain from Wednesday through Saturday.

August 21st-27th:  Mainly a warm week with a few thunderstorms at the beginning of the week and then again late in the week.

August 28th-September 3rd:  Hot and dry most of the week.  A little cooler by the weekend with a few chances for thunderstorms.

September 4th-10th:  Hot and mainly dry this week.