I hope you had a great weekend and your Monday started off good.  Mine has been pretty good, I just ran all over the place today trying to get stuff done before work.  I have been sitting here over the past couple hours looking through the pattern and this storm system rolling through the area over the next couple of days.  It looks like all of the fantastic temperatures we have seen will be gone by Wednesday.  At least we had a nice little stretch of warmer temperatures for a while.  Showers and thunderstorms will continue to increase across southern KS, northern OK and push east through the overnight hours tonight.  Some of these storms could be on the strong side, but should stay below severe limits.  Here is a look at thunderstorms late tonight working through.

Late tonight precip

I also put the blue line on for you so you can see where the rain snow line will be located.  North of that line will see near blizzard like conditions.  Thunderstorms that push through tonight will quickly push off toward the east during the morning hours on Tuesday.  Lets look at this big system.

Tuesday evening 500

You can see the main system working into the north central plains by Tuesday PM.  This is the same system that we saw back on December 14th in the pattern.

December 14th

Most of the southern plains will see sunshine Tuesday as the dryslot pushes into the area.  Temperatures still look good until the colder side of the storm works in Tuesday evening.

Tuesday Evening Precip

Look at the snow amounts this baby is going to produce.

snowfall

You can see the monster snowstorm raging on Tuesday evening.  As the colder air works south, snow showers will spread in Tuesday night for eastern KS and western MO.  Expect colder temperatures for the rest of the week.  Here is a look at lows Thursday morning.

Thursday AM temps

Everyone will be cooling back down.  Our next wave we need to watch is Sunday and Monday.

Sunday 500

Lets go back two cycles and look at this.

October 26th

In October, it was a weaker version but the same systems.  We need to see where the southern low tracks and if we can get any moisture.  This will be something to watch over the next few days.

Doug

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook:  meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter:  @DougHeady

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN.  THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. 

February 7th-13th:  Slight chances for snow on Sunday with another system working in on Tuesday and Wednesday.  This will give us rain and snow chances.  Stay cool the rest of the week with rain and snow chances again on Friday.

February 14th-20th:  Mild with rain on Valentine’s Day and Monday.  As cooler air works in we will see rain or snow chances for Tuesday and Wednesday.  Cool the rest of the week with slight chances for rain or snow on Friday.

February 21st-28th:  A cold start to the week with slight chances for snow on Monday and Tuesday.  Mild temperatures for the second half of the week with rain chances for the weekend.

February 29th-March 5th:  Cold with snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Then cold and dry the rest of the week.

March 6th-12th:  Warming back up with rain chances on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  Cool the rest of the week with rain or snow chances for Friday and Saturday.

March 13th-19th:  A cool start to the week with mild temperatures by the middle of the week.  Thunderstorm chances for Thursday and Friday with cooler air briefly working in.

March 20th-26th:  Mild and mainly dry through the first half of the week.  Thunderstorm chances on Thursday and Friday.

March 27th-April 2nd:  The first half of the week will be on the cool side with a few showers on Sunday and Monday.  Warming up for the second half of the week with slight chances for rain on Thursday and Friday.

April 3rd-9th:  Mild with thunderstorm chances on Sunday.  Staying fairly warm through the week with thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.  Some of these could be strong to severe.  Mild temperatures and dry as we work into the weekend.

April 10th-16th:  Mild with thunderstorm chances again on Sunday.  Then cooling down through most of the week with slight chances for showers on Tuesday Wednesday.  Warming up a bit for the weekend.

April 17th-23rd:  Warm with thunderstorms to start the week.  Some of these could be strong to severe.  Mild temperatures for the rest of the week with thunderstorms again on Friday.

April 24th-30th:  Warm with thunderstorm on Monday and Tuesday with showers sticking around through the middle of the week.  Another system moves in for the weekend with thunderstorms that could be severe.

May 1st-7th:  Mild with thunderstorms that could be severe to start the week.  Temperatures cool down for the middle of the week with dry conditions.  We warm back up late in the week with thunderstorms returning with a severe threat once again.

May 8th-14th:  A cooler and dry start to the week with a warming trend through the middle of the week.  Thunderstorm chances late in the week that could be severe.

May 15th-21st:  Warm temperatures through the first half of the week.  Thunderstorms during the middle of the week with a severe threat.  Temperatures stay nice with thunderstorms returning for Saturday.