Good Saturday midday!  I hope you had a great Christmas.  Mine was fantastic and I am kinda glad that I got through it all with my 6 year old.  It is a very stressful age where he just wants gift after gift after gift.  I am trying to teach him how lucky he is to have ONE gift.  Kids now days!  We are heading to KC, to do Christmas with my sister, mom and some extended family here in just a bit.  But of course my love of my life, well weather love of my life has to come first.  I have to update you on what is going on.  I am seriously impressed on what is moving in this weekend.  The amount of rain parts of the area will see if absolutely amazing!  So lets get to it!

Very heavy rains today, they will increase through the day.  Lets look at the evening hours.

Rain this evening

Look at this huge system heading in our direction.

Sunday AM 500

This is right on track with the Heady Pattern.  This is the same system we had back on November 7th-9th.  Heavy rains continue into Sunday morning.

Sunday AM precip

You can see the bands of very heavy rains continuing in the yellow.  Just west of the viewing area we are seeing very heavy sleet and snow with several inches of snow.  Check out the precip totals by morning.

Sunday AM precip totals

Already at this time we will have very heavy rain amounts.  From extreme SE KS, NE OK, NW AR and SW MO, amounts from 2-7″ of rain.

Lets continue into the Sunday evening.

Sunday PM precip

Extremely heavy rains continue.  Also at this point, Iola, Yates Center, Chanute, Fredonia and back to Wichita should all be a rain/snow or sleet mix.  This will continue through Sunday night with the snow line slowly working SE.

Noon Monday

By midday Monday, there should be heavy snow east at least to the state line of KS/MO.  KC should have a band of very heavy snow with several inches in about a 6 hour period.  All of SE KS and NE OK have the best shot to pick up accumulating snows.  In SW MO and NW AR, it looks like a rain/snow mix right now with little accumulation, but needs to be watched.

Total precip

Here are total precipitation amounts.  This is crazy with rain totals along and south of I-44 in the range of 6-12″.  Lets look at total snowfall amounts.

Total Snowfall

The heaviest track of snow is from the panhandles to Wichita to KC.  At this time Joplin looks to be 1″ or less with increasing amounts as you work NW into SE KS.  As you work toward Chanute and  Yates Center, amounts look to be in the 3-6″ range.  A lot can still change as this system could shift a few miles south and the snow line shifts south or it could shift north.  We also need to watch out for the flooding rains.  We are going to see extreme flooding!!!!!!

Doug

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook:  meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter:  @DougHeady

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN.  THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. 

New Years: Cold and mainly dry.

January 3rd-9th:  A mild start to the week with rain chances on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  Wednesday could be rain or snow.  Colder the rest of the week with slight chances for snow on Saturday.

January 10th-16th:  A cold start to the week with mild temperatures quickly returning.  Rain chances increase for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.  A second system works in for the weekend with rain and snow chances.

January 17th-23rd:  Cool with rain and snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Staying cold through the middle of the week with mild temperatures toward the weekend.  Also slight chances for rain by the weekend.