Good Thursday morning, well I think.  I am just glad it is Thursday.  Before I get any getting old jokes, I just want to say I have been working Sunday’s the past several weeks so my days are a little off.  I missed a doctors appointment on Wednesday for my hand (I have really bad bone spurs, I think) because I was looking at the wrong day in my calendar.  Then I almost took my dog to the vet which is actually today.  I actually called the line for a conference call which is also today.  OH MY, what is wrong with me.  I need some serious sleep or something.  Let the old 37 year old jokes fly!!!!!!

Well the weather is actually a little boring in my standards which mean great for most people.  Let me show you what is going on.

Thursday 500

We are in a NW flow, meaning the jet stream out of the NW.  This gives us weak fast moving little systems.  However, we can’t get a big system in this flow.  It just gives us swinging temperatures like we have seen.  We will start to pull out of this as we work into the weekend.  Our next system will dig into the central plains.

500 Sunday

You can see how the Jet Stream digs a little bit more to the SW with a few waves working through.  This is actually the same system we had on Christmas.  However, look at Christmas.

December 25th

Can you see how much harder this system dug into the SW over Christmas.  Because it dug into the SW and grabbed so much gulf moisture we had flooding rains across the region.  This isn’t going to happen this time around.  We are sitting around a 51 day cycle if you do the math.  I can get into a big explanation why, but I don’t think you want to hear it, lol.  It has to do with what happened in 3 cycles ago in the 3rd week of September.  Lets push that aside, as the system after this will really start digging into the SW US.  So what can we expect?

Sunday precip

This will produce some light snow on Sunday across the central and northern plains.  Once you work a little farther south toward the I-44 corridor we could see a light freezing rain.  This shouldn’t be a big deal.  We do need to watch the back wave that kicks out on Monday.

Monday precip

If we can get enough cold air south on Sunday, this could produce some wintry weather in the southern plains on Monday.

Doug

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook:  meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter:  @DougHeady

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN.  THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. 

February 14th-20th:  Rain and snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Staying cool through the middle of the week with rain and mild temperatures increasing fro Thursday and Friday.  Lets see if we can get any cold air in here for wintry weather by the weekend.

February 21st-28th:  A cold start to the week with slight chances for snow on Monday and Tuesday as a weak system passes by.  Temperatures moderate for the rest of the week with another big system moving in with rain increasing for Friday and Saturday.  Again, lets see if we can get any colder air working in for the weekend.

February 29th-March 5th:  Cold with snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Then cold and dry the rest of the week.

March 6th-12th:  Warming back up with rain chances on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  Cool the rest of the week with rain or snow chances for Friday and Saturday.

March 13th-19th:  A cool start to the week with mild temperatures by the middle of the week.  Thunderstorm chances for Thursday and Friday with cooler air briefly working in.

March 20th-26th:  Mild and mainly dry through the first half of the week.  Thunderstorm chances on Thursday and Friday.

March 27th-April 2nd:  The first half of the week will be on the cool side with a few showers on Sunday and Monday.  Warming up for the second half of the week with slight chances for rain on Thursday and Friday.

April 3rd-9th:  Mild with thunderstorm chances on Sunday.  Staying fairly warm through the week with thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.  Some of these could be strong to severe.  Mild temperatures and dry as we work into the weekend.

April 10th-16th:  Mild with thunderstorm chances again on Sunday.  Then cooling down through most of the week with slight chances for showers on Tuesday Wednesday.  Warming up a bit for the weekend.

April 17th-23rd:  Warm with thunderstorms to start the week.  Some of these could be strong to severe.  Mild temperatures for the rest of the week with thunderstorms again on Friday.

April 24th-30th:  Warm with thunderstorm on Monday and Tuesday with showers sticking around through the middle of the week.  Another system moves in for the weekend with thunderstorms that could be severe.

May 1st-7th:  Mild with thunderstorms that could be severe to start the week.  Temperatures cool down for the middle of the week with dry conditions.  We warm back up late in the week with thunderstorms returning with a severe threat once again.

May 8th-14th:  A cooler and dry start to the week with a warming trend through the middle of the week.  Thunderstorm chances late in the week that could be severe.

May 15th-21st:  Warm temperatures through the first half of the week.  Thunderstorms during the middle of the week with a severe threat.  Temperatures stay nice with thunderstorms returning for Saturday.