Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

 

I hope you are having a fantastic week.  Hey, we are almost to the weekend!  I wanted to make sure you let you know what I am thinking for February.  Here you go!

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dheady@koamtv.com

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A few snow showers possible on Sunday.  Another system on Tuesday that looks like mainly rain, but we could go to sleet on the backside of the system.  We warm up the rest of the week with rain and then snow chances by the weekend.

February 11th-17th:  A cold first half of the week with mild temperatures the second half.  At least slight chances for rain on Thursday and Saturday.

February 18th-24th:  Another cold first half of the week with rain and snow chances on Monday.  Mild through the middle of the week with rain and snow chances returning on Thursday.  Staying cold into the weekend with rain and snow chances on Saturday.

February 25th-March 3rd:  A cold start, but mild for the middle of the week.  Temperatures slam right back down heading into the weekend.  Rain chances on Thursday, snow chances on Saturday.

March 4th-10th:  Cold through the first half of the week with mild temperatures working in the second half of the week.  Snow chances on Sunday, Rain chances back in on Saturday.

March 11th-17th:  Most of the week cold with snow chances on Sunday.  Rain chances on Thursday and Friday.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS