Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Things are looking up for winter weather.

I will keep you up to date on all of the changes.  Remember, my long range forecast is posted below.

Doug

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#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A cold start to the week with a mid-week warm up.  Rain chances on Wednesday and Thursday.  Late Thursday we could switch to freezing rain.  Eventually over to snow on Friday.

December 31st-January 6th:  Mainly a cold week with a slight chance for snow on Monday.  Better chances for rain and snow on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

January 7th-14th:  Mainly a cool week with slight chances for rain on Thursday.

January 15th-20th:  A mild start to the week with rain chances on Sunday and Monday.  Cool for a few days before mild temperatures return late in the week.

January 21st-27th:  A mild start to the week with rain chances on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.  Much colder the rest of the week.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS