Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Good Thursday night or Friday morning.  I hope you have had a great week and of course ready for the weekend.  I have been gone in Austin since Saturday for a meteorology conference.  Talk about Saturday?  I was so sick about my Chiefs.  I don’t know why, every year is the same result.

What a day Thursday was.  Our strong arctic front rolled through and our temperatures at one point in time were dropping a degree per minute.  We had the freezing drizzle but not much moisture with this storm system.  We stay cold for the next week with below average temperatures.  We will see a weak wave next Monday that will bring in colder temperatures once again.  With it, we could have a little light snow.

We will warm back up late next week ahead of the next system over the weekend.  This is right in line with where we should be with the Heady Pattern.  On December 3rd, we saw the pattern block up and it was pretty cold through New Years.  I don’t think that pattern will block up as much this time around so we have better chances for storm systems.  So lets go back to December 3rd.

You can see the storm system dropping into the west.  That system was the start of the cold temperatures.  Here is this same system next Friday.

Make sure you check out the long range forecast below.

 

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Another cold week with temperatures staying below average.  Some light snow chances Monday and then some rain chances by Saturday.  Also temperatures warming up on Friday and Saturday.

January 21st-27th:  A cold start to the week with rain and snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Staying cold the rest of the week with rain and snow chances on Friday and Saturday.

January 28th-February 3rd:  Cold most of the week with rain or snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Slight chances for snow on Friday.

February 4th-10th:  Mainly another cold week with rain and snow chances on Sunday, Wednesday and Thursday.

February 11th-17th:  Another cold week with rain and snow chances on Tuesday and a slight chance on Thursday.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS