Good Thursday night!  I hope your week has been fantastic.  Mine has been pretty good, busy but good and I have a 3 day weekend heading my way so I am pumped.  I need to get yard work done and I will probably go to the Webb City high school football game Friday night.  Also my son has a game on Saturday and the weather looks great.

NEXT SYSTEM

Our next system won’t move in until late Sunday and early Monday with a few scattered thunderstorms.  Until then it looks great!

HURRICANE HARVEY AND THE HEADY PATTERN

The big story is Hurricane Harvey.  Check this guy out.  He will make landfall Friday evening.

He is small in size but should be a Cat. 3 which would be a major hurricane.  The amounts of rain could make this hurricane a devastating one.  Check out how slow he moves.

Look at Sunday, he has weakened but he really hasn’t moved.  In fact he will sit here all next week.  He won’t even leave the state of Texas until next weekend.  Here is next Saturday.

This means extremely heavy rains.  Over the next week we could see 30-40 inches of rain.

We average 49″ of rain per year.  This area will get about 10 months of rain in a week and will cause tremendous flooding.  Most of this moisture will stay south of  the 4-state area but it does need to be watched.  So the pattern is interesting.  The old pattern is in place for about another month but the new cycle has already established itself and I have been working on that for about the past month.  But the old 57.5 day cycle is still there, dying but still there.  So check this out.  Lets look at Sunday.

You can see the low across the great lakes with our next system and then Harvey across Texas.  Lets go back 57 days with our dying cycle.

Here is July 1st, you can see the low up north and look at the little low across Texas, that is pretty amazing.  Lets look at the developing cycle and move to July 6th.

You can see the low up north and the little wave in SE MO.  So we are right on track.  We will see a warmer spell for the first half of September, but the second half should be much cooler.  Here is the break down below.

 

 

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Great temperatures with 80s through the week.  Rain chances on Sunday and Monday, but we do need to watch the moisture from Harvey.

September 3rd-9th:  Cooling down for Sunday and Monday with rain chances over Labor Day.  Heating up and mainly dry the rest of the week.

September 10th-16th:  Warm to hot temps to start the week with highs near 90.  Rain chances Sunday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Saturday as we have a few waves rolling through.  Most of the week will be in the 80s.

September 17th-23rd:  A warm start to the week with rain chances on Sunday and Monday.  Turning cooler through the middle of the week with warm 80s returning late in the week.

September 24th-30th:  Cooling down this week with mainly 70s for highs.  Rain chances on Wednesday and Saturday.

 

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS