Good Thursday night!  I hope you have had a great week so far.  Mine has been pretty good so far, but busy.  Today has been crazy.  I have fought a migraine all day long, which is nothing new for me.  Once I felt good enough to actually stand up I decided to do some laundry for my short trip.  I have an early flight as I am heading to Boston for 3 days.  Well of course I have to do a little bit of laundry.  Well the dryer decided to give me an error code.  Hmm, after using wonderful google for a while it is the circuit board.  Ok, well will deal with that when I get home.  I have been working since then and will go home and pack.  Just another day in my busy life, lol.

We have had amazing temperatures around here all week long.  After last weeks below average temperatures all week, we have been above average all this week here in Joplin, MO.  Lets jump into Saturday as this is the beginning of the active pattern that will be here for about the next 4 weeks.

Saturday evening

Look at the showers and thunderstorms from about KC south to Houston on Saturday evening.  Some of these will be strong to severe mainly along and south of I-44.  The best chances for severe weather will be eastern Oklahoma, western Arkansas and eastern Texas.  Heavy rains with showers and thunderstorms continue across the central and southern plains Saturday night.  Snow will break out across the northern plains.  Colder air will start to work in with the second surge of energy on Sunday.

Sunday AM

I still think most of the central and southern plains will have showers and thunderstorms by Sunday morning.  However, by Sunday evening I do think we could see at least a rain/snow mix as the upper level low shifts by.

Sunday evening

In the circled area is where I think we could see a rain/snow mix.  Lets go ahead and look at the next system next Tuesday and Wednesday.

Next Wednesday

Here is our system for Next Wednesday.  As of right now it looks like the moisture will be split across the northern and southern plains.  We do need to watch it closely of course.  It was a little more organized the last time it worked through on Halloween.

October 31st

A lot to watch over the next few weeks.

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook:  meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN.  THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. 

Weekend:  Showers and thunderstorms, some possible severe mainly south of I-44 late Saturday.  Rain on Sunday that could mix with some snow late in the day.

Next Week:  Nice temperatures stick around for Monday and Tuesday.  We need to watch the mid-week system as a few showers or even snow showers are possible on Wednesday and Thursday.  Cooler temperatures work back for Friday, but it should be dry.  Warming up for Saturday with slight chances for rain returning.

December 20th-26th:  Rain and snow chances to start the week on Sunday and Monday with a pretty strong system working through.  Cooler temperatures stick around through the week with slight chances for rain and snow on Christmas Eve and Day.

December 27th-2nd:  Rain and snow chances to start the week with cold temperatures.  We will see mild temperatures return for the second half of the week with rain chances by the 1st.  Colder air works in for the weekend with some snow chances.

January 3rd-9th:  A cold start to the week with snow chances on Sunday.  Staying cold most of the week with snow chances again on Wednesday.  Warmer temperatures working in for the weekend.