I hope you are having a great week so far.  Mine has been super busy but pretty good.  I went out of town for the weekend to go see my dad.  I don’t get to see him much but wanted to go see how he was doing. Here is a nice picture of three generations.

Dad

I had to work on Sunday, but still got to at least check in on the massive defensive Super Bowl.  I am the first to say I am not a Broncos Fan.  However, I am very proud of Peyton that he can ride off in the sunset as one of the best of all-time as a winner.   You can’t ask for a better ending than that to his amazing years in the NFL.

Now I am looking at what is going to hit us down the road.  We are in this awful NW flow.

500 today

When I say NW flow, all of the energy is diving out of Canada which brings in the colder temperatures.  On top of that we can’t get any systems in here until this breaks down.  We will see a weak wave drop in from the NW on Wednesday that will affect the northern plains.  Let me show you.

Wednesday Wave

This will produce snow from the Dakota’s through Iowa into central and eastern MO.  This will stay northeast of the Joplin metro but it will drop 1-3″ of snow in that line.

snowfall

We will have a warming trend toward the weekend with our next system working in on Sunday and Monday.  This is right in line with the Heady Pattern.  In fact this is the Christmas storm that produced that major flooding that we had across most of the central US that week.  Here is the difference this time around.  Due to the flow we are in now, we are going to have a hard time getting much moisture into this system.  So it will be a weaker version of this system like we had in early November and in late September.

Sunday 500

You can see this wave working through the central plains on Sunday.  Lets look at the surface.

Sunday precip

As of right now, this looks like light snow from central KS/MO points north with rain south of that.  This is something we will watch closely.  We are going to get into be wet storms again until the 18-20th.  This would be the December 31st storms and November 10th storm in the Heady Pattern.  This will be the next big system that will have a lot of moisture.

Doug

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook:  meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter:  @DougHeady

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN.  THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. 

February 14th-20th:  Rain and snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Staying cool through the middle of the week with rain and mild temperatures increasing fro Thursday and Friday.  Lets see if we can get any cold air in here for wintry weather by the weekend.

February 21st-28th:  A cold start to the week with slight chances for snow on Monday and Tuesday as a weak system passes by.  Temperatures moderate for the rest of the week with another big system moving in with rain increasing for Friday and Saturday.  Again, lets see if we can get any colder air working in for the weekend.

February 29th-March 5th:  Cold with snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Then cold and dry the rest of the week.

March 6th-12th:  Warming back up with rain chances on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  Cool the rest of the week with rain or snow chances for Friday and Saturday.

March 13th-19th:  A cool start to the week with mild temperatures by the middle of the week.  Thunderstorm chances for Thursday and Friday with cooler air briefly working in.

March 20th-26th:  Mild and mainly dry through the first half of the week.  Thunderstorm chances on Thursday and Friday.

March 27th-April 2nd:  The first half of the week will be on the cool side with a few showers on Sunday and Monday.  Warming up for the second half of the week with slight chances for rain on Thursday and Friday.

April 3rd-9th:  Mild with thunderstorm chances on Sunday.  Staying fairly warm through the week with thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.  Some of these could be strong to severe.  Mild temperatures and dry as we work into the weekend.

April 10th-16th:  Mild with thunderstorm chances again on Sunday.  Then cooling down through most of the week with slight chances for showers on Tuesday Wednesday.  Warming up a bit for the weekend.

April 17th-23rd:  Warm with thunderstorms to start the week.  Some of these could be strong to severe.  Mild temperatures for the rest of the week with thunderstorms again on Friday.

April 24th-30th:  Warm with thunderstorm on Monday and Tuesday with showers sticking around through the middle of the week.  Another system moves in for the weekend with thunderstorms that could be severe.

May 1st-7th:  Mild with thunderstorms that could be severe to start the week.  Temperatures cool down for the middle of the week with dry conditions.  We warm back up late in the week with thunderstorms returning with a severe threat once again.

May 8th-14th:  A cooler and dry start to the week with a warming trend through the middle of the week.  Thunderstorm chances late in the week that could be severe.

May 15th-21st:  Warm temperatures through the first half of the week.  Thunderstorms during the middle of the week with a severe threat.  Temperatures stay nice with thunderstorms returning for Saturday.