Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

 

The active pattern continues.  Here is a break down on what to expect.

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dheady@koamtv.com

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Freezing rain, sleet and snow possible on Sunday.  Staying cool most of the week with rain chances returning on Tuesday and Saturday.

February 18th-24th:  Mainly a cool week with rain and snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Then again on Thursday and Saturday as we continue to see numerous waves working through.

February 25th-March 3rd:  A cold start, but mild for the middle of the week.  Temperatures slam right back down heading into the weekend.  Rain chances on Thursday, snow chances on Saturday.

March 4th-10th:  Cold through the first half of the week with mild temperatures working in the second half of the week.  Snow chances on Sunday, Rain chances back in on Saturday.

March 11th-17th:  Most of the week cold with snow chances on Sunday.  Rain chances on Thursday and Friday.

DOUG HEADYHEADY PATTERNMETEOROLOGISTSEVERE WEATHERTHUNDERSTORMS