Good Tuesday night!  I hope your week is going great so far.  Mine has been pretty good as I am back at work today.  During the summer I take most of my vacation time as the weather greatly slows down here in the central plains.  Our weather really picks up late fall, winter and spring, so I don’t like to take any days off.  I work the rest of the week and then off next week as I head to Austin for the AMS weather conference.

Our weather has greatly slowed down this week after several days of rain over the past couple of weeks.  We actually need to dry out just a bit, but will need the rain again here in a few days.  We are still right on track with the Heady Pattern that has been in place since last September.  However, the cycle has already been changing over the past several weeks.  We are actually just about set with the new cycle that will be in place for about the next 12-13 months.  I will continue to study this over the next couple of months as the old cycle slowly dies.  We have now switched over to La Nina.  La Nina will now be in place for at least the next 10 months.

La Nina

I circled at the graph of La Nina now in place.  Lets look at what is going on right now for us.

Wednesday 500

You can see the Jet Stream is well to the north with just a weak wave that I circled across Colorado and western KS.  This will allow a few clouds to shoot across the plain states on Wednesday.  However, chances for showers are pretty low.  This ridge will be persistent over the next few days.  Look at Thursday.

Thursday 500

So the heat will kick in.  Look at highs on Wednesday.

Temps Wednesday

Also our dewpoints (humidity) will be rising.

Dewpoints

This means with highs near 90 the rest of the week, we will have heat indices even higher than that.  It will feel like summer.  Early next week we will start to see a few changes.

Sunday 500

We are looking at Sunday above, still the ridge in place but a wave will start to head in our directions.  This will give us scattered showers and thunderstorms through the first half of the week.

#headypattern

Doug

dheady@koamtv.com

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next week:  Warm and humid with scattered thunderstorms at least through the first half of the week.  A few random storms pop back up by the weekend.

June 19th-25th:  Warm with some scattered thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday.  The heat kicks back in for the rest of the week with thunderstorm chances by the weekend.

June 26th-July 2nd:  Warm to hot week with an upper level wave hanging out most of the week giving us scattered thunderstorms across the region.

July 3rd-9th:  A warm start to the week with a warming trend through the week.  Mainly dry through the week.

July 10th-16th:  Hot with slight chances for storms to start the week.  Stay hot most of the week with a slight chance for storms by the weekend.

July 17th-23rd:  Another hot week with very slight chances for thunderstorms on Wednesday.

July 24th- 30th:  Hot with slight chances for thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday.