Good Tuesday afternoon!  I hope your week is going great.  Mine has been pretty good so far, just busy as usual.  My son and I are hanging out today but mainly inside due to the scattered showers and thunderstorms. We will see plenty of chances for thunderstorms over the next few days.  One batch has been working through over the past few hours.  However, most of the afternoon looks pretty good before additional thunderstorms fire again tonight.

Tonight precip

Some of these working across northern OK, southern KS and SE KS could be on the strong to severe side with wind and hail late this evening.  These will push through the region during the overnight hours tonight.  The severe threat shifts a little farther north near KC on Wednesday and into southern Iowa.

Wednesday evening

However, by Thursday the threat shifts back south into southern and SE KS.  Also we will see the severe threat work south in Oklahoma as well.  I think Thursday the severe threat will jump up to an elevated threat for Wichita, Tulsa, Joplin metro and NW AR.

Thursday evening

On Friday, the main upper level low will kick out into the central plains.

Friday 500

This should produce another elevated threat for the Joplin metro, Tulsa and NW AR.

Friday precip

I will keep you updated through the week

#headypattern

Doug

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next week:  Scattered thunderstorms continue through the holiday.  Some of these could be on the strong to severe side.  As we continue to have weak waves push into the central plains through the week, scattered thunderstorms will continue to fire off most of the week with a severe threat.  Temperatures will stay warm with highs into the 80s

May 29th-June 4th:  Warm with thunderstorm chances returning for the rest of the holiday weekend.  As a slow moving wave works through, temperatures will cool down a bit with scattered showers through the middle of the week.  Temperatures warm back up heading into the weekend.

June 5th-11th:  Warm with thunderstorms that could be severe on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.  Temperatures will cool down a bit for the middle of the week before we rebound late in the week with slight chances for thunderstorms for the weekend.

June 12th-18th:  Really heating up this week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

June 19th-25th:  The first half of the week will be hot with slight chances for thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday.  Cooling down a bit for the rest of the week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Saturday.

June 26th-July 2nd:  A mild start to the week with a warming trend through the week.  Thunderstorm chances work into the forecast for Thursday, Friday and Saturday which is the holiday weekend.

July 3rd-9th:  Hot with scattered thunderstorms for the 4th and 5th. Staying hot most of the week with slight chances for thunderstorms again for the weekend.

July 10th-16th:  Starting the week mild with a warming trend through the week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Friday.  However, most of the week will be dry.

July 17th-23rd:  Another hot week with very slight chances for thunderstorms on Wednesday.

July 24th- 30th:  Hot with slight chances for thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday.