I hope your week is going great so far.  The weather hasn’t been bad in most places.  Actually we had great temperatures over the weekend and to start the week.  Can you believe it is already March?  Time is just flying by and spring is right around the corner.  In fact, Daylight Savings Time begins next weekend on the 13th.  So imagine this, the sun will set around 7:40 at the end of the month and it won’t be dark till about 8:15.  Their are brighter days ahead!  However, we are moving quickly into severe weather season.  We might as well say it is here b/c of the mild temperatures over the winter.  When we have a cold winter, the temperatures over the Gulf of Mexico really cool down and it takes a little time for us to push into severe weather season.  Well, that isn’t the case this year.  The gulf is warm and we are jumping into the season.  Joplin and many other areas are close to setting record low snowfall seasons.  In fact, if Joplin sees no snow from here on out, we will set a new record.  Now for a snow lover like me, that isn’t a record I want to set.

The rest of the week looks pretty good, but we do have several fast moving waves.  Look at the one rolling through tonight.

Wednesday 500

This is a fast moving wave dropping in which is the same that we saw one cycle ago on January 13th.

January 13th

This will give the central plains a few showers tonight.

Wednesday night

We have another quick wave Friday that doesn’t do much for us and then again late Saturday.  Here is a look at Saturday.

Saturday night

You can see Saturday night’s wave stays mainly across the northern plains.  We will actually have nice temperatures in the 60s for most of the week.  A bigger system rolls in on Monday and Tuesday.

Monday 500

This is interesting.  Look at this system two cycles ago on November 30th.

November 30th

It was still a strong system, but we had a split Jet Stream because it just wasn’t strong enough for all the energy to dive south.  This time around it will be and it should be a pretty wet storms for areas in the central plains.  It could also produce some strong storms.  Lets look at Monday and Tuesday.

Precip Monday

Here is Tuesday.

Precip Tuesday

I will keep you updated.

Doug

dheady@koamtv.com

Facebook:  meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter:  @DougHeady

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN.  THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. 

This week:  After this system passes by, cooler with partly sunny skies.  However, temperatures should warm up nicely for the weekend.

Next Week:  Mild with showers and thunderstorms that could be strong on Monday and Tuesday.  Showers stick around for Wednesday and Thursday with cooler temperatures the rest of the week.

March 13th-19th:  Up and down temperatures all week long with slight chances for rain on Sunday and Monday.  We will have another weak system with a few showers on Wednesday.  Temperatures warm up for the weekend.

March 20th-26th:  Warm with thunderstorms to start the week.  Some of these could be strong to severe.  A second system rolls in for Wednesday with more strong thunderstorms.  Cooler the rest of the week.

March 27th-April 2nd:  A mild start to the week with rain chances on Monday.  Mild temperatures stick around through the week with thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.  Thunderstorms return for the weekend.

April 3rd-9th:  Thunderstorms to start the week that could be strong to severe.  Mild temperatures stick around with showers through the middle of the week.  A second system with storms on Wednesday and Thursday could also have strong storms.  Cooler but dry for the rest of the week.

April 10th-16th:  Mild with a few showers early in the week.  Slight chances for thunderstorms work in for the second half of the week.

April 17th-23rd:  Up and down temperatures through the week with fast moving waves.  Slight chances for showers early in the week with these waves working through.  A better chances for thunderstorms late in the week.

April 24th-30th:  Mild and dry through the first half of the week with thunderstorms on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

May 1st-7th:  Mainly a mild with just slight chances for showers on Sunday and Monday.  The rest of the week will be mainly dry.

May 8th-14th:  Warm with thunderstorms to start the week that could be strong to severe.  The second half of the week should be calm and mild.

May 15th-21st:  A mild start to the week with thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday.  Warm with severe storms possible on Wednesday with our next system.  The rest of the week looks good.