Good Wednesday evening! I hope you are having a great week so far. Mine has been going pretty good but very busy. I am in Austin all week at the AMS(American Meteorological Society) Weather Conference. I have been on the national board for the past 4 years and take over as the national board chair later this year. So it is very important that I am here. I did want to post a quick little update on here of course but this isn’t going to be my normal blogs.
Expect the heat and the humidity to really stick around the rest of the week. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 90s with the heat index cranking in around 105-110. This is dangerous heat and you need to watch yourself if you are going to be outside during the 2-6pm stretch. Also watch the pets as well as they really get hot if they are outside. We have very slight chances for a pop-up storm over the next couple of days with the daytime heating, but most of us will stay dry. The heat will return on Thursday.
Most areas will go right back into the mid 90s with high humidity. Dew points will be right back into the mid 70s.
When dew points are in the mid 70s we are extremely muggy. That is why most of us have heat indices in the 105-110 range. We don’t have a lot of changes due to this huge ridge of high pressure in place.
This just allows the heat and humidity to pump in.
A cold front will try to sag in on Friday and Saturday, but it stalls out and quickly lifts right back toward the north. So it really isn’t going to help our temperatures out much over the weekend. I really don’t see much changes until about Tuesday when a cold front will sag south into KS and MO producing scattered thunderstorms and bringing in some cooler temperatures.
La Nina continues to get a little stronger and our new cycle continues to find itself. Now remember, we are still in our old pattern until September and the 49 day cycle will slowly morph into the new one over the next couple of months. However, this new cycle will get stronger over the next couple of months and this will be our dominant cycle for the next year or so and really represent our weather for the fall, winter and spring. This dominant ridge that continues to find us over the past couple of weeks with the heat and humidity across the central and southern plains isn’t going anywhere this summer. Get used to it and if you want a nice green lawn, well you will have to do some serious watering by July and August as our rainfall will really start to cut off. I will continue to go into this over the next few blogs. For now I better get back
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LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.
June 19th-25th: Warm temperatures with a few thunderstorms on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.
June 26th-July 2nd: Warm to hot week with an upper level wave hanging out most of the week giving us scattered thunderstorms across the region.
July 3rd-9th: A warm start to the week with a warming trend through the week. Mainly dry through the week.
July 10th-16th: Hot with slight chances for storms to start the week. Stay hot most of the week with a slight chance for storms by the weekend.
July 17th-23rd: Another hot week with very slight chances for thunderstorms on Wednesday.
July 24th- 30th: Hot with slight chances for thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday.